This listing includes AI condition scoring, neighbourhood intelligence, and market valuation data — giving you a complete picture before you visit. Compare rental yield, price per square metre, and location strength against the broader Portuguese market to assess whether this property fits your investment strategy.
5-bedroom, 6-bathroom villa of 381 m², built in 2005, energy rating C. Located on rua do Alecrim, 4, Odiáxere parish, Lagos municipality, Faro district. The villa features an indoor garden with overhead lighting, creating a tranquil environment that enhances well-being and connects the interior to nature, ideal for relaxation and enjoyment.
The valuation. The asking price of €3,200,000 is significantly elevated compared to the fair value of €1,484,513, resulting in a mark-up of €1,715,487, or 53.6%. Verdict: overpriced. Buy-to-flip angle. A buy-to-flip strategy would hinge on making aesthetic upgrades, leveraging the high-quality materials, to create an appealing offering that meets market demand in Odiáxere before reselling at a premium. Buy-to-let angle. Alternatively, a buy-to-let approach could be risky given the 0% gross yield, pointing to a reliance on future appreciation rather than immediate rental income, especially in a mixed neighborhood.
Fair value modelled at €1,484,513 from the area baseline, adjusted for condition and location. Asking €3,200,000 sits €1,715,487 (53.6%) above — overpriced versus fair value.
Asking €3,200,000 versus the rua do Alecrim, 4 area baseline of €1,339,977 (€3,517/m²) for a median-condition unit of this size — the gap before quality adjustments.
AI Condition Index 90/100 (Condition 85 · Materials 92 · Room dimensions 89). Above-median finish quality lifts fair value versus a baseline unit needing CapEx.
Neighbourhood score 70/100 (Housing Market 80 · Amenities 70 · Economic 60 · Tenant Quality 70). Strong amenities and housing-market momentum support a premium to baseline.
rua do Alecrim, 4
Area baseline €1,339,977 + condition +€47,625 + location +€106,436 = modelled fair value of €1,484,513 (€3,896/m²), a €1,715,487 (53.6%) gap versus the €3,200,000 asking price.
| Reference | Status | Price | €/m² | vs subject | Condition | Location |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| rua do Alecrim, 4 | Subject | €3,200,000 | €8,399 | — | 85 | 70 |
| Mexilhoeira Grande · f35d95 | Active | €550,000 | €2,941 | 65.0% | 74 | 73 |
| São Gonçalo de Lagos · 6fbb7d | Active | €980,000 | €3,920 | 53.3% | 70 | 74 |
| travessa da Azenha, 28A | Active | €4,650,000 | €10,333 | 23.0% | 80 | 73 |
| Mexilhoeira Grande · 90d8e6 | Active | €2,750,000 | €6,410 | 23.7% | 85 | 67 |
| Median comp | €1,865,000 | €5,165 | 38.5% | 77 | 73 |
Long-term rental This 5-bed villa in Odiáxere is priced at €3,200,000, significantly above its fair value of €1,484,513, marking a 53.6% gap. Given the current gross yield of 0%, long-term rental is not a viable strategy as the property is clearly overpriced. Short-term vacation rental Despite the property's proximity to the Algarve coast, making it attractive for short-term vacation rentals, the listed price of €3,200,000 exceeds the fair value of €1,484,513 by 53.6%. This inflated price point results in a lack of immediate financial return, indicating that the investment is overpriced and not suitable for this strategy. Buy-and-hold While the villa boasts a high condition rating of 90/100 and is located in a neighborhood that benefits from international interest, its listing price of €3,200,000 is well above the fair value of €1,484,513, creating a 53.6% premium. As a result, the buy-and-hold strategy is undermined by the significant overvaluation of the property, limiting its long-term investment potential.
Economic vulnerability The economic stability score of 60/100 indicates potential susceptibility to market fluctuations, which could impact rental income and property value.
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Comparables, condition and location workings, yield and time-to-sell. Written up and emailed to you.
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