This listing includes AI condition scoring, neighbourhood intelligence, and market valuation data — giving you a complete picture before you visit. Compare rental yield, price per square metre, and location strength against the broader Portuguese market to assess whether this property fits your investment strategy.
5-bedroom, 6-bathroom villa of 419 m², energy rating B. Located Estrela parish, Lisbon municipality, Lisbon district. Noteworthy Features: This villa boasts a chic terrace equipped with a swimming pool and a designated gym area that enhances both leisure and fitness opportunities within a luxurious urban setting.
The valuation. The asking price of €5,500,000 significantly exceeds the fair value of €1,893,800 by €3,606,200 (65.6%), indicating that the property is overpriced. Buy-to-flip angle. The buy-to-flip strategy could benefit from minor renovations or aesthetic upgrades before targeting a resale to high-net-worth buyers in the market for luxury villas. Buy-to-let angle. The long-term rental strategy projects an estimated gross yield of 2.2%, with potential monthly income around €10,083, attracting families seeking high-end living in a desirable location.
Fair value modelled at €1,893,800 from the area baseline, adjusted for condition and location. Asking €5,500,000 sits €3,606,200 (65.6%) above — overpriced versus fair value.
Asking €5,500,000 versus the Estrela, Lisbon, Lisbon area baseline of €1,650,022 (€3,938/m²) for a median-condition unit of this size — the gap before quality adjustments.
AI Condition Index 86/100 (Condition 82 · Materials 90 · Room dimensions 85). Above-median finish quality lifts fair value versus a baseline unit needing CapEx.
Neighbourhood score 79/100 (Housing Market 85 · Amenities 75 · Economic 80 · Tenant Quality 75). Strong amenities and housing-market momentum support a premium to baseline.
Estrela, Lisbon, Lisbon
Area baseline €1,650,022 + condition +€52,375 + location +€191,403 = modelled fair value of €1,893,800 (€4,520/m²), a €3,606,200 (65.6%) gap versus the €5,500,000 asking price.
| Reference | Status | Price | €/m² | vs subject | Condition | Location |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estrela · 6d5482 | Subject | €5,500,000 | €13,126 | — | 82 | 79 |
| Santa Maria Maior · 99f141 | Active | €3,870,000 | €7,428 | 43.4% | 80 | 83 |
| largo de Santos, 24 | Active | €4,950,000 | €10,832 | 17.5% | 82 | 81 |
| Santa Maria Maior · 82c739 | Active | €380,000 | €1,681 | 87.2% | 76 | 80 |
| rua de Santo António dos Capuchos, 2 | Active | €1,600,000 | €7,273 | 44.6% | 83 | 87 |
| Median comp | €2,735,000 | €7,351 | 44.0% | 81 | 82 |
Long-term rental The 5-bed villa in Estrela is priced significantly above its fair value, reflecting a 65.6% gap that indicates it is overpriced. With a low gross yield of 2.2% and decent condition, this property may not generate sufficient returns to justify such a high purchase price in a competitive rental market. Family rental Given its substantial listing price and proximity to amenities, the villa in Estrela may attract family renters but still suffers from being overpriced. The yield of 2.2% suggests that the investment may not deliver compelling long-term benefits in an area where housing prices are already elevated. Buy-and-hold Holding this property as a long-term investment could be challenging due to its significant overvaluation at €5,500,000, compared to a fair value of €1,893,800. While the neighbourhood scores well in tenant quality, the return potential is undermined by the high purchase price and low yield of 2.2%.
Economic Downturn Risk With an economic stability score of 80/100, there is a moderate risk of economic downturn affecting tenant retention and property performance.
