This listing includes AI condition scoring, neighbourhood intelligence, and market valuation data — giving you a complete picture before you visit. Compare rental yield, price per square metre, and location strength against the broader Portuguese market to assess whether this property fits your investment strategy.
4-bedroom, 4-bathroom house of 310 m², built in 1991, energy rating A. Located on jardim das Calicas, São Gonçalo de Lagos parish, Lagos municipality, Faro district. This villa features a state-of-the-art outdoor video surveillance system and a Ubiquiti WiFi system, ensuring connectivity and security throughout the property, including in the garden.
The valuation. The asking price of €1,595,000 exceeds the fair value of €1,216,532 by €378,468 (23.7%), indicating that the property is overpriced. This discrepancy suggests caution for potential investors. Buy-to-flip angle. Reselling the property may yield a challenge given its current overvaluation; a wholesale strategy should focus on optimizing renovations to genuinely enhance market value. Aiming for timely sales in a competitive market will be crucial. Buy-to-let angle. The estimated rental income of €2,658/month gives a gross yield of 2%, which is relatively low for the region; however, given seasonal tourism, short-term vacation rentals can provide higher returns during peak periods.
Fair value modelled at €1,216,532 from the area baseline, adjusted for condition and location. Asking €1,595,000 sits €378,468 (23.7%) above — overpriced versus fair value.
Asking €1,595,000 versus the jardim das Calicas area baseline of €1,082,520 (€3,492/m²) for a median-condition unit of this size — the gap before quality adjustments.
AI Condition Index 86/100 (Condition 83 · Materials 90 · Room dimensions 85). Above-median finish quality lifts fair value versus a baseline unit needing CapEx.
Neighbourhood score 72/100 (Housing Market 75 · Amenities 70 · Economic 65 · Tenant Quality 70). Strong amenities and housing-market momentum support a premium to baseline.
jardim das Calicas
Area baseline €1,082,520 + condition +€38,750 + location +€95,262 = modelled fair value of €1,216,532 (€3,924/m²), a €378,468 (23.7%) gap versus the €1,595,000 asking price.
| Reference | Status | Price | €/m² | vs subject | Condition | Location |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| jardim das Calicas | Subject | €1,595,000 | €5,145 | — | 83 | 72 |
| São Gonçalo de Lagos · 49b92e | Active | €1,595,000 | €6,702 | 30.3% | 83 | 75 |
| Odiáxere · bf27b9 | Active | €8,000,000 | €44,944 | 773.5% | 78 | 70 |
| Odiáxere · 937200 | Active | €1,990,000 | €4,234 | 17.7% | 84 | 69 |
| rua da Ameijeira | Active | €750,000 | €2,820 | 45.2% | 71 | 73 |
| Median comp | €1,792,500 | €5,468 | 6.3% | 81 | 72 |
Short-term vacation rental The property is not ideal for short-term vacation rental given its 23.7% gap from fair value and a relatively low yield of 2%. This indicates that the financial returns may not justify the high purchase price in a highly seasonal market. Buy-and-hold Considering the elevated listing price of €1,595,000, the 2% gross yield does not support a lucrative buy-and-hold investment strategy. The investment is regrettably overpriced, making long-term appreciation and cash flow uncertain. Family rental While the property is situated in a tourist-driven area that provides some tenant stability, its 23.7% overvaluation means it may not be the best option for family rental investments. The prevailing pricing may lead to difficulties in achieving sustainable rental income in the competitive housing market.
Economic Vulnerability The economic stability score of 65/100 indicates potential vulnerability to market fluctuations, which could affect tenant retention and rental income.
