This listing includes AI condition scoring, neighbourhood intelligence, and market valuation data — giving you a complete picture before you visit. Compare rental yield, price per square metre, and location strength against the broader Portuguese market to assess whether this property fits your investment strategy.
4-bedroom, 6-bathroom villa of 280 m², built in 2025, energy rating A+. Located Alcabideche parish, Cascais municipality, Lisbon district. This villa features a private outdoor lounge area with a built-in barbecue and stunning views of the surrounding landscape, enhancing its appeal for leisure and entertainment.
The valuation. The asking price of €1,800,000 significantly exceeds the fair value of €1,169,675, representing an overvaluation of €630,325 (35.0%). This property is priced beyond its intrinsic worth.
Fair value modelled at €1,169,675 from the area baseline, adjusted for condition and location. Asking €1,800,000 sits €630,325 (35.0%) above — overpriced versus fair value.
Asking €1,800,000 versus the Alcabideche, Cascais, Lisbon area baseline of €1,039,080 (€3,711/m²) for a median-condition unit of this size — the gap before quality adjustments.
AI Condition Index 87/100 (Condition 85 · Materials 90 · Room dimensions 85). Above-median finish quality lifts fair value versus a baseline unit needing CapEx.
Neighbourhood score 73/100 (Housing Market 80 · Amenities 65 · Economic 80 · Tenant Quality 65). Strong amenities and housing-market momentum support a premium to baseline.
Alcabideche, Cascais, Lisbon
Area baseline €1,039,080 + condition +€35,000 + location +€95,595 = modelled fair value of €1,169,675 (€4,177/m²), a €630,325 (35.0%) gap versus the €1,800,000 asking price.
| Reference | Status | Price | €/m² | vs subject | Condition | Location |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alcabideche · 0dcbcb | Subject | €1,800,000 | €6,429 | — | 85 | 73 |
| rua das Codornizes | Active | €4,850,000 | €7,315 | 13.8% | 90 | 69 |
| rua das Peónias S / N | Active | €3,650,000 | €13,036 | 102.8% | 90 | 71 |
| Alcabideche · f36667 | Active | €1,950,000 | €6,311 | 1.8% | 88 | 69 |
| Cascais e Estoril · 4201c9 | Active | €2,200,000 | €6,094 | 5.2% | 85 | 66 |
| Median comp | €2,925,000 | €6,813 | 6.0% | 89 | 69 |
Long-term rental Given the current rental yield of 5.2% and a fair value gap of 35.0%, this asset is overpriced relative to its potential returns and market conditions. Long-term tenants may expect pricing more aligned with the fair market value of €1,169,675 rather than the listing price of €1,800,000. Family rental While the villa's space and local amenities could appeal to families, the significant price discrepancy signals that it is overpriced in the current market context. Families seeking stable housing options may not find the asking price justifiable compared to comparably priced properties in more advantageous locations. Buy-and-hold Investors considering a buy-and-hold strategy should be cautious, as the villa is currently overpriced by 35.0%, making it less attractive for long-term capital appreciation. Holding the asset at this price point could yield disappointingly low returns given its fair value of €1,169,675 and economic factors in the vicinity.
Tenant turnover risk The tenant stability score of 65/100 indicates a higher likelihood of tenant turnover, which may lead to increased vacancy rates and potentially affect cash flow.
