This listing includes AI condition scoring, neighbourhood intelligence, and market valuation data — giving you a complete picture before you visit. Compare rental yield, price per square metre, and location strength against the broader Portuguese market to assess whether this property fits your investment strategy.
3-bedroom, 5-bathroom house of 309 m², energy rating A. Located Alcabideche parish, Cascais municipality, Lisbon district. Noteworthy Features: This villa boasts a well-maintained outdoor area with a swimming pool, a lawned garden, and a barbecue space perfect for entertaining, set in a tranquil residential neighborhood.
The valuation. The asking price of €1,950,000 is significantly above the fair value of €1,272,473, marking an excess of €677,527, or 34.7%. This property is clearly overpriced.
Fair value modelled at €1,272,473 from the area baseline, adjusted for condition and location. Asking €1,950,000 sits €677,527 (34.7%) above — overpriced versus fair value.
Asking €1,950,000 versus the Alcabideche, Cascais, Lisbon area baseline of €1,146,699 (€3,711/m²) for a median-condition unit of this size — the gap before quality adjustments.
AI Condition Index 87/100 (Condition 88 · Materials 90 · Room dimensions 83). Above-median finish quality lifts fair value versus a baseline unit needing CapEx.
Neighbourhood score 69/100 (Housing Market 72 · Amenities 65 · Economic 70 · Tenant Quality 68). Strong amenities and housing-market momentum support a premium to baseline.
Alcabideche, Cascais, Lisbon
Area baseline €1,146,699 + condition +€38,625 + location +€87,149 = modelled fair value of €1,272,473 (€4,118/m²), a €677,527 (34.7%) gap versus the €1,950,000 asking price.
| Reference | Status | Price | €/m² | vs subject | Condition | Location |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alcabideche · f36667 | Subject | €1,950,000 | €6,311 | — | 88 | 69 |
| Cascais e Estoril · 4201c9 | Active | €2,200,000 | €6,094 | 3.4% | 85 | 66 |
| Cascais e Estoril · 9568c5 | Active | €1,290,000 | €7,588 | 20.2% | 82 | 74 |
| rua das Codornizes | Active | €4,850,000 | €7,315 | 15.9% | 90 | 69 |
| Cascais e Estoril · 25f5fd | Active | €1,290,000 | €7,588 | 20.2% | 85 | 67 |
| Median comp | €1,745,000 | €7,452 | 18.1% | 85 | 68 |
Long-term rental The property’s current listing price of €1,950,000 exceeds its fair value by 34.7%, making it a less attractive option for a long-term rental strategy. With a gross yield of only 2.5%, the investment does not provide sufficient returns in the current market conditions. Family rental Given the current valuation of €1,950,000, the gap from the fair value suggests an overpricing that may deter potential family renters who are sensitive to price. The average condition score of 87/100 may attract interest, but the high asking price limits its accessibility within the family rental market. Buy-and-hold At €1,950,000, the property is clearly overpriced compared to its fair value of €1,272,473, which could erode potential capital appreciation over time. The modest yield of 2.5% further indicates that this buy-and-hold strategy would not deliver desirable financial outcomes given the price point.
Economic-tenant instability risk The combined scores of 70 for economic stability and 68 for tenant stability indicate a potential risk of fluctuations in both the local economy and tenant reliability, which could negatively impact property income.
