This listing includes AI condition scoring, neighbourhood intelligence, and market valuation data — giving you a complete picture before you visit. Compare rental yield, price per square metre, and location strength against the broader Portuguese market to assess whether this property fits your investment strategy.
3-bedroom, 2-bathroom house of 152 m², energy rating D. Located Ericeira parish, Mafra municipality, Lisbon district. This property features a cozy fireplace in the spacious living room and a private courtyard of 40 m², perfect for outdoor dining and relaxation.
The valuation. The asking price of €575,000 significantly exceeds the fair value of €279,516, representing a difference of €295,484 or 51.4%. This property is considered overpriced based on comparative market analysis.
Fair value modelled at €279,516 from the area baseline, adjusted for condition and location. Asking €575,000 sits €295,484 (51.4%) above — overpriced versus fair value.
Asking €575,000 versus the Ericeira, Mafra, Lisbon area baseline of €661,048 (€4,349/m²) for a median-condition unit of this size — the gap before quality adjustments.
AI Condition Index 65/100 (Condition 68 · Materials 65 · Room dimensions 65). Below-median condition lowers fair value versus a renovated baseline unit.
Neighbourhood score 51/100 (Housing Market 50 · Amenities 55 · Economic 45 · Tenant Quality 55). Strong amenities and housing-market momentum support a premium to baseline.
Ericeira, Mafra, Lisbon
Area baseline €661,048 + condition -€22,800 + location +€1,204 = modelled fair value of €279,516 (€1,839/m²), a €295,484 (51.4%) gap versus the €575,000 asking price.
| Reference | Status | Price | €/m² | vs subject | Condition | Location |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ericeira · 65a63c | Subject | €575,000 | €3,783 | — | 68 | 51 |
| urbanização Moinhos do Mar | Active | €460,000 | €3,932 | 3.9% | 60 | 55 |
| rua Mato da Cruz, 22 | Active | €550,000 | €3,438 | 9.1% | 60 | 56 |
| urbanização Moinhos do Mar, 129 | Active | €630,000 | €5,727 | 51.4% | 62 | 56 |
| estrada de Montesouros, 4A | Active | €470,000 | €3,983 | 5.3% | — | 53 |
| Median comp | €510,000 | €3,958 | 4.6% | 60 | 56 |
Long-term rental The property is overpriced at €575,000, especially when the fair value is assessed at €279,516, creating a significant gap of 51.4%. With a gross yield of only 4%, the investment may struggle to generate satisfactory returns for long-term rental investors in a neighbourhood rated 51/100. Value-add renovation While the condition of the property is rated 65/100 and presents potential for improvement, the initial purchase price of €575,000 is still a barrier given the fair value is at €279,516. Any renovations would not justify the egregious price overvaluation, thus making it a challenging prospect for value-add strategies in the current market context.
Economic Vulnerability The property is at risk due to a low economic stability score of 45/100, indicating potential challenges in maintaining tenant income and demand.
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