This listing includes AI condition scoring, neighbourhood intelligence, and market valuation data — giving you a complete picture before you visit. Compare rental yield, price per square metre, and location strength against the broader Portuguese market to assess whether this property fits your investment strategy.
4-bedroom, 2-bathroom apartment of 156 m², built in 2001, energy rating D. Located Arroios parish, Lisbon municipality, Lisbon district. Unique Feature: Fully reinforced central beam system enhances seismic stability, and renovated balconies with robust concrete structures ensure both safety and modern aesthetics in a historical location.
The valuation. The asking price of €738,000 sits significantly above the fair value of €104,511, representing an excess of €633,489 (85.8%). This property is therefore considered overpriced.
Fair value modelled at €104,511 from the area baseline, adjusted for condition and location. Asking €738,000 sits €633,489 (85.8%) above — overpriced versus fair value.
Asking €738,000 versus the Arroios, Lisbon, Lisbon area baseline of €763,620 (€4,895/m²) for a median-condition unit of this size — the gap before quality adjustments.
AI Condition Index 73/100 (Condition 73 · Materials 75 · Room dimensions 70). Below-median condition lowers fair value versus a renovated baseline unit.
Neighbourhood score 84/100 (Housing Market 89 · Amenities 80 · Economic 90 · Tenant Quality 80). Strong amenities and housing-market momentum support a premium to baseline.
Arroios, Lisbon, Lisbon
Area baseline €763,620 + condition -€5,363 + location +€13,154 = modelled fair value of €104,511 (€670/m²), a €633,489 (85.8%) gap versus the €738,000 asking price.
| Reference | Status | Price | €/m² | vs subject | Condition | Location |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arroios · 65a696 | Subject | €738,000 | €4,731 | — | 73 | 84 |
| rua Leite de Vasconcelos S / N | Active | €469,000 | €4,690 | 0.9% | 72 | 84 |
| Penha de França · ba3d67 | Active | €499,000 | €5,544 | 17.2% | 70 | 90 |
| rua Quirino da Fonseca, 3 | Active | €712,000 | €6,473 | 36.8% | 73 | 85 |
| Arroios · 49b817 | Active | €690,000 | €5,750 | 21.5% | 65 | 85 |
| Median comp | €594,500 | €5,647 | 19.4% | 71 | 85 |
Long-term rental The property in Arroios is overpriced at €738,000, with a substantial gap of 85.8% from its fair value of €104,511. At a gross yield of 3.3% and a condition score of 73/100, it does not present a compelling case for long-term rental investment. Family rental With current pricing significantly above the fair market value, this 4-bed apartment is not an attractive option for family rental. The neighbourhood's high rating of 84/100 does not offset the considerable underperformance in yield and value alignment. Buy-and-hold Investing in this property as a buy-and-hold strategy is ill-advised given its current listing price, which significantly exceeds the fair value. While the neighbourhood offers decent amenities, the 85.8% gap from fair value poses a substantial risk for long-term appreciation in this investment. Not ideal for: Short-term rental, Student housing
Economic downturn risk: Despite a high economic stability score of 90/100, potential economic downturns could still impact rental income, especially with a tenant stability score of 80/100 suggesting some vulnerability to tenant turnover.
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