This listing includes AI condition scoring, neighbourhood intelligence, and market valuation data — giving you a complete picture before you visit. Compare rental yield, price per square metre, and location strength against the broader Portuguese market to assess whether this property fits your investment strategy.
5-bedroom, 4-bathroom villa of 399 m², built in 2020, energy rating A. Located on rua José Lobo da Veiga, 152, São Gonçalo de Lagos parish, Lagos municipality, Faro district. This villa features a dedicated cinema room for movie nights and an expansive roof terrace designed for al fresco dining, all while offering stunning ocean views.
The valuation. The asking price of €2,800,000 is significantly above the fair value of €1,588,087, resulting in an overprice of €1,211,913 (43.3%). This valuation suggests the property is priced well beyond its true market potential.
Fair value modelled at €1,588,087 from the area baseline, adjusted for condition and location. Asking €2,800,000 sits €1,211,913 (43.3%) above — overpriced versus fair value.
Asking €2,800,000 versus the rua José Lobo da Veiga, 152 area baseline of €1,526,574 (€3,826/m²) for a median-condition unit of this size — the gap before quality adjustments.
AI Condition Index 89/100 (Condition 90 · Materials 95 · Room dimensions 85). Above-median finish quality lifts fair value versus a baseline unit needing CapEx.
Neighbourhood score 76/100 (Housing Market 80 · Amenities 80 · Economic 65 · Tenant Quality 75). Strong amenities and housing-market momentum support a premium to baseline.
rua José Lobo da Veiga, 152
Area baseline €1,526,574 + condition +€49,875 + location +€144,904 = modelled fair value of €1,588,087 (€3,980/m²), a €1,211,913 (43.3%) gap versus the €2,800,000 asking price.
| Reference | Status | Price | €/m² | vs subject | Condition | Location |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| rua José Lobo da Veiga, 152 | Subject | €2,800,000 | €7,018 | — | 90 | 76 |
| rua João Bráz, 3 | Active | €2,575,000 | €4,877 | 30.5% | 80 | 77 |
| rua Frederico Rato | Active | €1,850,000 | €6,491 | 7.5% | — | 66 |
| rua da Ameijeira | Active | €750,000 | €2,820 | 59.8% | 71 | 73 |
| São Gonçalo de Lagos · 956be1 | Active | €1,100,000 | €6,748 | 3.8% | — | 73 |
| Median comp | €1,475,000 | €5,684 | 19.0% | 76 | 73 |
Short-term vacation rental The property, listed at €2,800,000, is overpriced against the calculated fair value of €1,588,087, creating a significant gap of 43.3%. With a gross yield of only 1.5%, this investment strategy may not yield sufficient returns to justify the entry price, particularly in a seasonal market. Long-term rental With a strong neighborhood score of 76/100, the property has appeal for long-term rental; however, its excessive pricing limits its attractiveness. At a gross yield of 1.5%, the low rental return further underscores that this property is overpriced in its current market context. Buy-and-hold The 5-bed villa, given its high listing price of €2,800,000, is not a favorable buy-and-hold investment due to being overpriced against a fair value of €1,588,087. The economic and tourist strengths of the Algarve region are promising, yet the high entry cost at this price point could lead to stagnant capital appreciation.
Economic Uncertainty The economic stability score of 65/100 indicates potential vulnerability to downturns, which could threaten rental income and property value.
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