This listing includes AI condition scoring, neighbourhood intelligence, and market valuation data — giving you a complete picture before you visit. Compare rental yield, price per square metre, and location strength against the broader Portuguese market to assess whether this property fits your investment strategy.
4-bedroom, 5-bathroom house of 320 m², energy rating D. Located Cascais e Estoril parish, Cascais municipality, Lisbon district. Noteworthy Features: The property offers an expansive garden and pool area, ensuring total privacy and a tranquil outdoor living experience in the prestigious Birre neighborhood of Cascais.
The valuation. The asking price of €2,890,000 is significantly above the fair value of €1,721,374, creating an excess of €1,168,626 or 40.4%. This property is deemed overpriced and unlikely to meet investment criteria. Buy-to-flip angle. Given the current market dynamics, a buy-and-flip strategy may not yield profitable returns, as resale values may not surpass the initial investment substantially. The existing high asking price inhibits a viable wholesale flipping potential. Buy-to-let angle. The estimated rental income of €5,780 per month suggests a gross yield of only 2.4%, which is relatively low for an investment property. Long-term rental strategies in a mixed neighborhood may attract families but could struggle against pricing pressures.
Fair value modelled at €1,721,374 from the area baseline, adjusted for condition and location. Asking €2,890,000 sits €1,168,626 (40.4%) above — overpriced versus fair value.
Asking €2,890,000 versus the Cascais e Estoril, Cascais, Lisbon area baseline of €1,583,680 (€4,949/m²) for a median-condition unit of this size — the gap before quality adjustments.
AI Condition Index 77/100 (Condition 75 · Materials 78 · Room dimensions 77). Above-median finish quality lifts fair value versus a baseline unit needing CapEx.
Neighbourhood score 70/100 (Housing Market 75 · Amenities 70 · Economic 65 · Tenant Quality 70). Strong amenities and housing-market momentum support a premium to baseline.
Cascais e Estoril, Cascais, Lisbon
Area baseline €1,583,680 + condition +€11,000 + location +€126,694 = modelled fair value of €1,721,374 (€5,379/m²), a €1,168,626 (40.4%) gap versus the €2,890,000 asking price.
| Reference | Status | Price | €/m² | vs subject | Condition | Location |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cascais e Estoril · 4a8064 | Subject | €2,890,000 | €9,031 | — | 75 | 70 |
| Cascais e Estoril · 023c35 | Active | €2,750,000 | €9,167 | 1.5% | 68 | 68 |
| Cascais e Estoril · 6d5335 | Active | €2,200,000 | €10,377 | 14.9% | — | 72 |
| praceta Abel Botelho, 17 | Active | €1,600,000 | €6,838 | 24.3% | 80 | 66 |
| rua Melros, 2 | Active | €2,315,000 | €7,717 | 14.6% | 76 | 75 |
| Median comp | €2,257,500 | €8,442 | 6.5% | 76 | 70 |
Long-term rental The €2,890,000 asking price represents a 40.4% gap above fair value, which diminishes the appeal for long-term rental strategy despite the proximity to Lisbon’s amenities. With a gross yield of only 2.4%, this investment does not generate sufficient returns to justify its current price. Family rental Although the property is located in a family-friendly neighborhood with decent school quality and safety, the property is still overpriced at €2,890,000, creating a significant barrier for family renters. Families typically seek value for money, and the property’s 2.4% gross yield does not align with their expectations given the high purchase price. Buy-and-hold Despite the potential long-term benefits of stability in the Cascais e Estoril area, the significant 40.4% premium over fair value indicates that this property is overpriced, making it a less attractive buy-and-hold opportunity. Investors would be better served seeking properties that align more closely with fair market value to enhance capital growth over time.
Economic Vulnerability The property faces potential economic risk due to a relatively low economic stability score of 65/100, indicating susceptibility to fluctuations in the local economy that could impact tenant demand and rental incomes.
