This listing includes AI condition scoring, neighbourhood intelligence, and market valuation data — giving you a complete picture before you visit. Compare rental yield, price per square metre, and location strength against the broader Portuguese market to assess whether this property fits your investment strategy.
3-bedroom, 4-bathroom villa of 339 m², energy rating D. Located on via Spy Manor Productions, Alvor parish, Portimão municipality, Faro district. Noteworthy Features: The villa includes a dedicated home office and a large balcony with panoramic views over the pool and Penina Golf Course, enhancing its appeal for both leisure and productivity.
The valuation. The asking price of €1,850,000 is significantly above the fair value of €682,644, representing an overvaluation of €1,167,356 (63.1%). This property is overpriced given its current market conditions and valuation metrics. Buy-to-flip angle. Given its high-quality condition and location, the villa could attract buyers for a quick resale, but the substantial markup would require effective marketing to justify the asking price. Buy-to-let angle. With an estimated rental income of €2,621/month, the gross yield sits at a low 1.7%, questioning its viability as a long-term investment in a tourism-driven market.
Fair value modelled at €682,644 from the area baseline, adjusted for condition and location. Asking €1,850,000 sits €1,167,356 (63.1%) above — overpriced versus fair value.
Asking €1,850,000 versus the via Spy Manor Productions area baseline of €582,063 (€1,717/m²) for a median-condition unit of this size — the gap before quality adjustments.
AI Condition Index 89/100 (Condition 85 · Materials 90 · Room dimensions 88). Above-median finish quality lifts fair value versus a baseline unit needing CapEx.
Neighbourhood score 75/100 (Housing Market 80 · Amenities 75 · Economic 65 · Tenant Quality 75). Strong amenities and housing-market momentum support a premium to baseline.
via Spy Manor Productions
Area baseline €582,063 + condition +€42,375 + location +€58,206 = modelled fair value of €682,644 (€2,014/m²), a €1,167,356 (63.1%) gap versus the €1,850,000 asking price.
| Reference | Status | Price | €/m² | vs subject | Condition | Location |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| via Spy Manor Productions | Subject | €1,850,000 | €5,457 | — | 85 | 75 |
| Alvor · 25f688 | Active | €1,850,000 | €5,457 | 0% | 80 | 68 |
| Portimão · 65a74c | Active | €1,360,000 | €5,667 | 3.8% | 85 | 71 |
| Portimão · 0902f6 | Active | €685,000 | €3,663 | 32.9% | 73 | 68 |
| urbanização Alto Club | Active | €1,290,000 | €5,287 | 3.1% | 70 | 67 |
| Median comp | €1,325,000 | €5,372 | 1.6% | 77 | 68 |
Short-term vacation rental The villa's asking price of €1,850,000 significantly exceeds its fair value of €682,644, reflecting a 63.1% gap that renders this investment overpriced. With a gross yield of only 1.7%, the potential return does not justify the high entry cost in a tourism-reliant economy. Buy-and-hold Acquiring this property for long-term appreciation is not advisable, as the current valuation at €1,850,000 is sharply above the €682,644 fair value, indicating that it is overpriced. The relatively low gross yield of 1.7% further suggests limited potential for income generation in a market where expectations for returns are crucial. Family rental Investing in this villa as a family rental is ill-advised due to its overvaluation at €1,850,000 compared to a fair value of €682,644, resulting in a 63.1% gap. This price point, combined with a meager gross yield of 1.7%, diminishes its attractiveness for steady rental income in the current market conditions.
Economic Vulnerability The property has a relatively low economic stability score of 65/100, indicating potential susceptibility to economic fluctuations that could affect rental income and property value.
