This listing includes AI condition scoring, neighbourhood intelligence, and market valuation data — giving you a complete picture before you visit. Compare rental yield, price per square metre, and location strength against the broader Portuguese market to assess whether this property fits your investment strategy.
3-bedroom, 3-bathroom villa of 312 m², built in 1989, energy rating C. Located Ericeira parish, Mafra municipality, Lisbon district. Noteworthy Features: This villa's private garden features a built-in barbecue and a terrace showcasing stunning sea views, enhancing outdoor living and entertaining opportunities. Energy Efficiency: The property's energy rating is 'C', indicating respectable energy performance.
The valuation. The asking price of €990,000 sits significantly above fair value, which is assessed at €627,996. This places the property at €362,004 (36.6%) over its fair value, resulting in a verdict of overpriced.
Fair value modelled at €627,996 from the area baseline, adjusted for condition and location. Asking €990,000 sits €362,004 (36.6%) above — overpriced versus fair value.
Asking €990,000 versus the Ericeira, Mafra, Lisbon area baseline of €618,072 (€1,981/m²) for a median-condition unit of this size — the gap before quality adjustments.
AI Condition Index 75/100 (Condition 72 · Materials 75 · Room dimensions 78). Below-median condition lowers fair value versus a renovated baseline unit.
Neighbourhood score 55/100 (Housing Market 60 · Amenities 50 · Economic 50 · Tenant Quality 60). Strong amenities and housing-market momentum support a premium to baseline.
Ericeira, Mafra, Lisbon
Area baseline €618,072 + condition -€2,438 + location +€12,361 = modelled fair value of €627,996 (€2,013/m²), a €362,004 (36.6%) gap versus the €990,000 asking price.
| Reference | Status | Price | €/m² | vs subject | Condition | Location |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ericeira · 03250d | Subject | €990,000 | €3,173 | — | 72 | 55 |
| Ericeira · 956ab1 | Active | €550,000 | €3,395 | 7.0% | 70 | 50 |
| Ericeira · 001586 | Active | €609,500 | €3,503 | 10.4% | 73 | 55 |
| Ericeira · de0b86 | Active | €649,000 | €4,031 | 27.0% | 68 | 59 |
| Ericeira · ba59ef | Active | €949,000 | €4,541 | 43.1% | 78 | 48 |
| Median comp | €629,250 | €3,767 | 18.7% | 72 | 53 |
Long-term rental The property presents a challenging long-term rental investment due to its high listing price of €990,000 compared to a fair value of €627,996, indicating an overpriced market. With a gross yield of only 2.9% and a neighbourhood score of 55/100, it is unlikely to attract quality tenants long-term. Buy-and-hold Investing in this villa as a buy-and-hold strategy is not advisable, as the current gap of 36.6% from fair value suggests that the property is overpriced at €990,000. Additionally, the mixed economic characteristics of the area and average condition rating of 75/100 raise concerns about future appreciation potential and tenant stability.
Economic Vulnerability The economic stability score of 50/100 suggests potential volatility in the market that could adversely affect rental income and property value.
