This listing includes AI condition scoring, neighbourhood intelligence, and market valuation data — giving you a complete picture before you visit. Compare rental yield, price per square metre, and location strength against the broader Portuguese market to assess whether this property fits your investment strategy.
4-bedroom, 1-bathroom house of 279 m², energy rating C. Located on rua do Alto, Ericeira parish, Mafra municipality, Lisbon district. Noteworthy Features: This property offers a unique Music Room perfect for family gatherings, along with a suite featuring individual balconies that overlook the lush garden and pool area.
The valuation. The asking price of €850,000 is just below fair value at €860,071, resulting in a slight difference of €10,071 (1.2%). This indicates the property is fairly valued and positioned reasonably within the market. Buy-to-flip angle. With a gross yield of 3.1%, a buy-and-flip strategy could be employed to capitalize on the home's quality finishes and location. This approach aims for a swift resale in a growing neighborhood. Buy-to-let angle. The estimated rental income of approximately €2,196 per month supports a long-term buy-to-let strategy, promising reliable cash flow. The property's quality and proximity to Lisbon enhance its attractiveness to potential tenants.
Fair value modelled at €860,071 from 6 comparable sales in the area. Asking €850,000 sits €10,071 (1.2%) below — the upside to fair value.
Asking €850,000 versus the rua do Alto area baseline of €746,350 (€2,675/m²) for a median-condition unit of this size — the gap before quality adjustments.
AI Condition Index 77/100 is above the parish average, lifting fair value versus a typical-condition unit.
Recent nearby listings price above the wider parish average — a hyper-local premium distinct from the parish baseline.
Base gap of €746,350, adjusted for condition and micro-location, gives a modelled fair value of €860,071 (€3,083/m²), a €10,071 (1.2%) gap versus the €850,000 asking price.
| Reference | Status | Price | €/m² | vs subject | Condition | Location |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| rua do Alto | Subject | €850,000 | €3,047 | — | 74 | 57 |
| Ericeira · 0dcd6d | Active | €560,000 | €2,995 | 1.7% | 80 | 59 |
| rua do Vale Caeiro, 3 | Active | €560,000 | €2,569 | 15.7% | 80 | 52 |
| Ericeira · 956ab1 | Active | €550,000 | €3,395 | 11.4% | 70 | 50 |
| Ericeira · de0bcc | Active | €650,000 | €3,171 | 4.1% | 71 | 59 |
| Median comp | €560,000 | €3,083 | 1.2% | 76 | 56 |
Long-term rental The property in Ericeira, Mafra presents a stable opportunity for long-term rental, yielding a gross return of 3.1%. With a fair value of €860,071, the minimal gap of 1.2% suggests that the investment aligns with pricing expectations based on local demand characteristics. Buy-and-hold Investing in this 4-bed house for a buy-and-hold strategy appears reasonable given its fair valuation at €860,071, which is only slightly above its listing price of €850,000. This balanced pricing, coupled with a decent condition score of 77/100, makes it a sound choice for long-term appreciation in a market that benefits from proximity to Lisbon, albeit with rural influences.
Economic Instability Risk With an economic stability score of 50/100, there is a significant risk of economic downturn impacting rental income and property values.
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Comparables, condition and location workings, yield and time-to-sell. Written up and emailed to you.
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