This listing includes AI condition scoring, neighbourhood intelligence, and market valuation data — giving you a complete picture before you visit. Compare rental yield, price per square metre, and location strength against the broader Portuguese market to assess whether this property fits your investment strategy.
2-bedroom, 3-bathroom duplex of 113 m², built in 1999, energy rating C. Located on rua de Vale do Milho S / N, Lagoa e Carvoeiro parish, Lagoa municipality, Faro district. This duplex features a private garden accessible from the lower-level bedrooms, ideal for outdoor relaxation, and benefits from its strategic orientation that captures beautiful morning light and sunsets.
The valuation. The asking price of €430,000 is significantly above the fair value of €376,947, representing an overvaluation of €53,053 (14.1%). This indicates a less favorable investment opportunity.
Fair value modelled at €376,947 from 4 comparable sales in the area. Asking €430,000 sits €53,053 (14.1%) above — overpriced versus fair value.
Asking €430,000 versus the rua de Vale do Milho S / N area baseline of €354,220 (€3,135/m²) for a median-condition unit of this size — the gap before quality adjustments.
AI Condition Index 76/100 is below the parish average, reducing fair value versus a typical-condition unit.
Recent nearby listings price above the wider parish average — a hyper-local premium distinct from the parish baseline.
Base gap of €354,220, adjusted for condition and micro-location, gives a modelled fair value of €376,947 (€3,336/m²), a €53,053 (14.1%) gap versus the €430,000 asking price.
| Reference | Status | Price | €/m² | vs subject | Condition | Location |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| rua de Vale do Milho S / N | Subject | €430,000 | €3,805 | — | 72 | 74 |
| urbanização Clube Golfmar | Active | €430,000 | €2,756 | 27.6% | 74 | 71 |
| Lagoa e Carvoeiro · 90d7a1 | Active | €435,000 | €3,063 | 19.5% | 75 | 74 |
| Lagoa e Carvoeiro · 3893e8 | Active | €430,000 | €4,725 | 24.2% | 74 | 71 |
| Lagoa e Carvoeiro · 65a863 | Active | €350,000 | €3,608 | 5.2% | 70 | 70 |
| Median comp | €430,000 | €3,336 | 12.3% | 74 | 71 |
Short-term vacation rental Given the property's location near the Algarve coast, a tourist-driven region, its current pricing indicates a 14.1% gap from its fair value, positioning it as overpriced for short-term rental returns. The gross yield of 3.6% falls below attractive market standards, suggesting limited profitability potential in this strategy. Buy-and-hold With a fair value of €376,947, the €430,000 listing price presents a significant barrier, rendering this buy-and-hold strategy less appealing given the property's overpriced status. The moderate condition score of 76/100 further indicates potential ongoing maintenance costs that may affect long-term investment viability. Family rental The €430,000 asking price exceeds its fair valuation, leading to the determination that the duplex is overpriced for a family rental strategy. While the neighborhood rate of 74/100 suggests reasonable desirability, the economic outlook and tenant quality indicate that securing long-term family tenants may be difficult at the current price point.
Economic Vulnerability The property may face risks due to a relatively moderate economic stability score of 65/100, which indicates potential fluctuations in market conditions that could impact rental income.
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Comparables, condition and location workings, yield and time-to-sell. Written up and emailed to you.
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