This listing includes AI condition scoring, neighbourhood intelligence, and market valuation data — giving you a complete picture before you visit. Compare rental yield, price per square metre, and location strength against the broader Portuguese market to assess whether this property fits your investment strategy.
3-bedroom, 4-bathroom house of 217 m², built in 2011, energy rating B. Located Carvalhal parish, Grândola municipality, Setúbal district. Noteworthy Features: This villa includes a private balcony in the master suite with expansive rural views, and a bespoke barbecue area in the mature garden, perfect for outdoor entertaining.
The valuation. The asking price of €1,500,000 is just €2,274 (0.2%) below the fair value of €1,502,274, indicating the property is priced fairly in the current market.
Fair value modelled at €1,502,274 from 6 comparable sales in the area. Asking €1,500,000 sits €2,274 (0.2%) below — the upside to fair value.
Asking €1,500,000 versus the Carvalhal, Grândola, Setúbal area baseline of €1,391,621 (€6,413/m²) for a median-condition unit of this size — the gap before quality adjustments.
AI Condition Index 81/100 is above the parish average, lifting fair value versus a typical-condition unit.
Recent nearby listings price above the wider parish average — a hyper-local premium distinct from the parish baseline.
Base gap of €1,391,621, adjusted for condition and micro-location, gives a modelled fair value of €1,502,274 (€6,923/m²), a €2,274 (0.2%) gap versus the €1,500,000 asking price.
| Reference | Status | Price | €/m² | vs subject | Condition | Location |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carvalhal · d1dcf9 | Subject | €1,500,000 | €6,912 | — | 75 | 47 |
| Carvalhal · 483af3 | Active | €3,750,000 | €8,929 | 29.2% | 80 | 49 |
| Carvalhal · 65a833 | Active | €950,000 | €6,552 | 5.2% | 85 | 44 |
| via Ferry / Catamaran | Active | €830,000 | €5,461 | 21.0% | 80 | 44 |
| Carvalhal · 4bbbb6 | Active | €1,390,000 | €9,145 | 32.3% | 76 | 46 |
| Median comp | €1,170,000 | €7,741 | 12.0% | 80 | 45 |
Long-term rental This property’s fair value is almost precisely aligned with its listing price, suggesting a stable investment for long-term rental, though yields are currently at 0%. With a condition rating of 81/100, it is well-maintained, but the neighborhood's low score of 47/100 indicates potential challenges in attracting ideal tenants. Buy-and-hold The pricing of this 3-bed house in Carvalhal is fair, presenting an opportunity for investors seeking to hold property over the long term without the risk of overpaying. However, the location's limited amenities and lower tenant quality might affect appreciation potential and liquidity in the rural market. Family rental Given that the property is fairly priced, it could serve as a reliable option for long-term family rentals, although the 0% yield indicates it is unlikely to provide immediate cash flow benefits. The moderate condition score is promising, but the neighborhood's lower rating may deter families seeking vibrant community amenities. Not ideal for: Short-term vacation rental Due to its fair valuation, this property does not present a strong case for short-term vacation rental strategy, especially given the 0% yield and limited local attractions. The rural setting and lack of urban amenities further compromise its potential in this competitive market. Not ideal for: Luxury market The house is assessed at fair value, which positions it as a basic residential home rather than a luxury investment, particularly with its average neighborhood rating. The current listing price of €1,500,000 likely does not align with luxury market expectations in more vibrant urban areas. Not ideal for: Student housing While valued fairly, this property is unsuitable for student housing due to its rural location, which lacks proximity to educational institutions or urban amenities that attract students. The low tenant quality rating further suggests difficulties in securing consistent rental occupancy in this sector.
Economic Vulnerability Low economic stability score of 35/100 indicates a heightened risk of market fluctuations impacting property value and rental income stability.
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