This listing includes AI condition scoring, neighbourhood intelligence, and market valuation data — giving you a complete picture before you visit. Compare rental yield, price per square metre, and location strength against the broader Portuguese market to assess whether this property fits your investment strategy.
3-bedroom, 2-bathroom apartment of 175 m² on the 1st floor, built in 2015, energy rating A. Located Ericeira parish, Mafra municipality, Lisbon district. This apartment features a 23 m² balcony perfect for outdoor relaxation, while the east-west exposure enhances natural light throughout the day, creating an inviting atmosphere.
The valuation. The asking price of €625,000 is significantly above the fair value of €543,457, positioning it as overpriced by €81,543 (15.0%).
Fair value modelled at €543,457 from 6 comparable sales in the area. Asking €625,000 sits €81,543 (15.0%) above — overpriced versus fair value.
Asking €625,000 versus the Ericeira, Mafra, Lisbon area baseline of €624,400 (€3,568/m²) for a median-condition unit of this size — the gap before quality adjustments.
AI Condition Index 80/100 is above the parish average, lifting fair value versus a typical-condition unit.
Recent nearby listings price below the wider parish average — a hyper-local discount distinct from the parish baseline.
Base gap of €624,400, adjusted for condition and micro-location, gives a modelled fair value of €543,457 (€3,105/m²), a €81,543 (15.0%) gap versus the €625,000 asking price.
| Reference | Status | Price | €/m² | vs subject | Condition | Location |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ericeira · 86cbf5 | Subject | €625,000 | €3,571 | — | 78 | 56 |
| Ericeira · 032489 | Active | €795,000 | €2,565 | 28.2% | 84 | 58 |
| Ericeira · 23f296 | Active | €480,000 | €3,117 | 12.7% | 84 | 60 |
| Ericeira · ba3e05 | Active | €795,000 | €2,565 | 28.2% | 80 | 55 |
| rua Frei Fernão Rodrigues Monteiro, 7 | Active | €940,000 | €3,534 | 1.1% | 90 | 54 |
| Median comp | €795,000 | €2,841 | 20.5% | 84 | 57 |
Long-term rental The property is overpriced by 15.0% compared to its fair value of €543,457, leading to concerns about its return on investment potential given a gross yield of 4.3%. Additionally, the neighborhood quality rating of 56/100 may not attract consistent long-term tenants. Family rental With a fair value significantly lower than the listing price, the property offers limited appeal for family rentals, especially with its pricing outpacing rental income expectations. The condition rating of 80/100 suggests decent quality, but combined with the neighborhood's score, it may not meet family needs effectively. Buy-and-hold Investing in this property as a buy-and-hold strategy may present challenges due to its 15.0% above fair value pricing, which could hinder capital appreciation over time. The peri-urban location offers balanced risk; however, the overall neighborhood quality could impact long-term tenant satisfaction and investment returns.
Economic Exposure With an economic stability score of 45/100, the property is at significant risk of declining market conditions impacting tenant retention and income potential.
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