This listing includes AI condition scoring, neighbourhood intelligence, and market valuation data — giving you a complete picture before you visit. Compare rental yield, price per square metre, and location strength against the broader Portuguese market to assess whether this property fits your investment strategy.
3-bedroom, 2-bathroom house of 173 m², energy rating C. Located Carvalhal parish, Grândola municipality, Setúbal district. Noteworthy Features: The villa showcases a private terrace equipped with a barbecue, perfect for outdoor gatherings, and enjoys unobstructed views that enhance its tranquil ambiance.
The valuation. The asking price of €770,000 is below the fair value of €848,981, indicating that this property sits at a fair valuation, offering a minor discount of €78,981 (9.3%). Buy-to-flip angle. A buy-to-flip strategy may capitalize on value-added renovations in this 3-bed property; however, the limited economic activity in Carvalhal suggests a slower resale cycle. Buy-to-let angle. With an estimated rental income of €2,695/month, the gross yield stands at 4.2%, making this property an attractive long-term rental investment given its fair valuation in a mixed neighborhood.
Fair value modelled at €848,981 from 5 comparable sales in the area. Asking €770,000 sits €78,981 (9.3%) below — the upside to fair value.
Asking €770,000 versus the Carvalhal, Grândola, Setúbal area baseline of €776,174 (€4,487/m²) for a median-condition unit of this size — the gap before quality adjustments.
AI Condition Index 77/100 is below the parish average, reducing fair value versus a typical-condition unit.
Recent nearby listings price above the wider parish average — a hyper-local premium distinct from the parish baseline.
Base gap of €776,174, adjusted for condition and micro-location, gives a modelled fair value of €848,981 (€4,907/m²), a €78,981 (9.3%) gap versus the €770,000 asking price.
| Reference | Status | Price | €/m² | vs subject | Condition | Location |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carvalhal · f14d2c | Subject | €770,000 | €4,451 | — | 74 | 53 |
| rua de Alcoutim, 285 | Active | €795,000 | €4,907 | 10.3% | 65 | 47 |
| Carvalhal · 19f49d | Active | €1,600,000 | €14,414 | 223.9% | 80 | 45 |
| estrada Nacional, 253, 1 | Active | €350,000 | €3,097 | 30.4% | 78 | 53 |
| Carvalhal · cfe24a | Active | €540,000 | €4,500 | 1.1% | 66 | 57 |
| Median comp | €667,500 | €4,704 | 5.7% | 72 | 50 |
Long-term rental The property in Carvalhal is positioned to attract long-term tenants due to its spacious layout and proximity to the rural Alentejo's agricultural community. However, with a gross yield of 4.2%, the property reflects a fair market position, which may limit substantial rental profitability. Buy-and-hold Investing in this property for a buy-and-hold strategy can yield stable returns given its fair valuation at €770,000, aligning closely with its calculated fair value. Yet, the limited economic activity in the area may slow overall appreciation, keeping returns modest in the long term. Value-add renovation A value-add renovation strategy could enhance the property’s appeal and potentially increase its rental income, despite currently being assessed as fair in value. The condition rating of 77/100 indicates room for improvement, yet the inherent location challenges may restrict significant value creation through renovations.
Economic Vulnerability The property is at risk due to its low economic stability score of 35/100, indicating potential challenges in maintaining consistent rental income.
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Comparables, condition and location workings, yield and time-to-sell. Written up and emailed to you.
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