This listing includes AI condition scoring, neighbourhood intelligence, and market valuation data — giving you a complete picture before you visit. Compare rental yield, price per square metre, and location strength against the broader Portuguese market to assess whether this property fits your investment strategy.
2-bedroom, 2-bathroom apartment of 114 m², built in 2006, energy rating D. Located Mafra parish, Mafra municipality, Lisbon district. Noteworthy Feature: The property's east-west exposure ensures abundant natural light throughout the day, enhancing the overall ambiance in the modern, well-maintained living spaces.
The valuation. The asking price of €435,000 is significantly above the fair value of €360,795, indicating that the property is overpriced by €74,205 (20.6%). This discrepancy may limit potential investment returns. Buy-to-flip angle. A buy-to-flip strategy may be challenging given the current valuation, suggesting that substantial renovations or market changes would be necessary to justify a profitable resale. Short-term gain potential appears limited. Buy-to-let angle. The estimated monthly rental income of €1,233 yields a gross yield of 3.4%, which is moderate and offsets some of the high initial investment. The suburban location may attract stable tenants looking for commutes to Lisbon.
Fair value modelled at €360,795 from 6 comparable sales in the area. Asking €435,000 sits €74,205 (20.6%) above — overpriced versus fair value.
Asking €435,000 versus the Mafra, Mafra, Lisbon area baseline of €351,840 (€3,086/m²) for a median-condition unit of this size — the gap before quality adjustments.
AI Condition Index 79/100 is above the parish average, lifting fair value versus a typical-condition unit.
Recent nearby listings price below the wider parish average — a hyper-local discount distinct from the parish baseline.
Base gap of €351,840, adjusted for condition and micro-location, gives a modelled fair value of €360,795 (€3,165/m²), a €74,205 (20.6%) gap versus the €435,000 asking price.
| Reference | Status | Price | €/m² | vs subject | Condition | Location |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mafra · a79e47 | Subject | €435,000 | €3,816 | — | 75 | 64 |
| praceta do Parque, 3 | Active | €496,000 | €3,100 | 18.8% | 76 | 59 |
| Mafra · 49b93f | Active | €435,000 | €2,314 | 39.4% | 75 | 58 |
| Mafra · 4a4589 | Active | €335,000 | €3,641 | 4.6% | 74 | 64 |
| Mafra · ba3dca | Active | €478,000 | €3,230 | 15.4% | 70 | 59 |
| Median comp | €456,500 | €3,165 | 17.1% | 75 | 59 |
Long-term rental The property is overpriced with a listing price of €435,000 compared to a fair value of €360,795, indicating a significant gap of 20.6%. The gross yield of 3.4% suggests that this investment will yield moderate returns in a suburban setting that may not fully capitalize on tenant demand. Family rental Given the property’s current pricing and fair value discrepancy, it is not an optimal investment for family rentals. The neighborhood score of 64/100 indicates that while basic amenities exist, they may not attract families looking for more comprehensive services and schools in the area. Buy-and-hold While buy-and-hold strategies typically benefit from appreciation over time, this property is overpriced, with a fair value gap indicating limited upside potential. Its condition rating of 79/100 suggests it may require additional investments to meet tenant expectations, thus complicating long-term rental viability. Not ideal for Short-term vacation rental strategies are not suitable due to the suburban location and the lack of luxury amenities in the context of this investment. Additionally, the economic stability as a commuter area may not support the fluctuating demand associated with short-term rentals. Not ideal for the luxury market as the property does not meet the expectations typically associated with luxury offerings, and its current valuation exceeds justified fair market rates. The neighborhood's amenities and housing quality further detract from its appeal to high-end buyers.
Economic and Tenant Risk The property's economic and tenant stability scores are both at 65/100, indicating a moderate risk of potential tenant turnover and economic fluctuations impacting rental income.
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