This listing includes AI condition scoring, neighbourhood intelligence, and market valuation data — giving you a complete picture before you visit. Compare rental yield, price per square metre, and location strength against the broader Portuguese market to assess whether this property fits your investment strategy.
5-bedroom, 4-bathroom house of 175 m², energy rating A+. Located Carvoeira parish, Mafra municipality, Lisbon district. This property features a landscaped garden with native plants, promoting biodiversity and reducing maintenance, along with an outdoor entertaining area perfect for gatherings.
The valuation. The asking price of €699,000 is closely aligned with the fair value of €700,335, reflecting only a minor deviation of €1,335 (0.2%). This property can be considered fairly valued in the current market. Buy-to-flip angle. With the unique design features and quality materials, a buy-to-flip strategy could net significant profits by targeting family-oriented buyers looking for high-end finishes. The proximity to Lisbon enhances its appeal, making it an attractive flip opportunity. Buy-to-let angle. The estimated gross yield of 3.8% translates to approximately €2,214 per month in rental income. Given the high-quality finishes and safe, residential neighborhood, a long-term rental strategy is likely to attract steady tenants.
Fair value modelled at €700,335 from 6 comparable sales in the area. Asking €699,000 sits €1,335 (0.2%) below — the upside to fair value.
Asking €699,000 versus the Carvoeira, Mafra, Lisbon area baseline of €706,419 (€4,037/m²) for a median-condition unit of this size — the gap before quality adjustments.
AI Condition Index 80/100 is above the parish average, lifting fair value versus a typical-condition unit.
Recent nearby listings price below the wider parish average — a hyper-local discount distinct from the parish baseline.
Base gap of €706,419, adjusted for condition and micro-location, gives a modelled fair value of €700,335 (€4,002/m²), a €1,335 (0.2%) gap versus the €699,000 asking price.
| Reference | Status | Price | €/m² | vs subject | Condition | Location |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carvoeira · 38b73e | Subject | €699,000 | €3,994 | — | 76 | 62 |
| Mafra · 86ca50 | Active | €1,200,000 | €3,166 | 20.7% | 75 | 62 |
| Carvoeira · 4a45ed | Active | €1,045,000 | €4,004 | 0.2% | 80 | 64 |
| rua da Terra Grande, 2 | Active | €840,000 | €865 | 78.3% | 80 | 65 |
| autoestrada A21 | Active | €800,000 | €4,444 | 11.3% | 74 | 57 |
| Median comp | €942,500 | €3,585 | 10.2% | 78 | 63 |
Family rental The 5-bed house in Carvoeira offers a fair value compared to its listing price, making it a sustainable option for family rentals. With a gross yield of 3.8%, it provides reasonable returns while being situated in a suburban area of Greater Lisbon known for safety and amenities. Long-term rental Given the fair valuation of €699,000, this property serves as a solid long-term rental investment opportunity. Its proximity to Lisbon enhances tenant appeal, although the resultant yield of 3.8% suggests limited growth potential in a competitive market. Buy-and-hold With a fair price of €699,000 and a yield of 3.8%, the 5-bed house represents a stable buy-and-hold strategy in Carvoeira. While the current value aligns closely with market estimates, investors should be aware of the slower appreciation in a suburban neighborhood setting.
Economic and Tenant Instability With an economic stability score of 70 and a tenant stability score of 65, there is a heightened risk of fluctuating rental income and potential vacancy issues due to the relatively low tenant stability.
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Comparables, condition and location workings, yield and time-to-sell. Written up and emailed to you.
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