This listing includes AI condition scoring, neighbourhood intelligence, and market valuation data — giving you a complete picture before you visit. Compare rental yield, price per square metre, and location strength against the broader Portuguese market to assess whether this property fits your investment strategy.
4-bedroom, 4-bathroom villa of 272 m², energy rating C. Located on estrada da Horta, Almancil parish, Loulé municipality, Faro district. This villa features a climate-controlled wine cellar and strategically designed outdoor BBQ area, ideal for year-round entertaining and enjoying the Algarve's mild weather.
The valuation. The asking price of €3,950,000 stands 4.4% above the fair value of €3,782,333. While this property is not mispriced, it is reflective of the high-demand market in the Algarve region.
Fair value modelled at €3,782,333 from 6 comparable sales in the area. Asking €3,950,000 sits €167,667 (4.4%) above — overpriced versus fair value.
Asking €3,950,000 versus the estrada da Horta area baseline of €3,449,513 (€12,682/m²) for a median-condition unit of this size — the gap before quality adjustments.
AI Condition Index 82/100 is above the parish average, lifting fair value versus a typical-condition unit.
Recent nearby listings price above the wider parish average — a hyper-local premium distinct from the parish baseline.
Base gap of €3,449,513, adjusted for condition and micro-location, gives a modelled fair value of €3,782,333 (€13,906/m²), a €167,667 (4.4%) gap versus the €3,950,000 asking price.
| Reference | Status | Price | €/m² | vs subject | Condition | Location |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| estrada da Horta | Subject | €3,950,000 | €14,522 | — | 86 | 70 |
| avenida Ayrton Senna da Silva | Active | €5,250,000 | €21,429 | 47.6% | 85 | 71 |
| avenida Oceano | Active | €7,350,000 | €17,093 | 17.7% | 85 | 61 |
| Almancil · 57f7ad | Active | €3,450,000 | €8,824 | 39.2% | 85 | 75 |
| Almancil · 25f5b5 | Active | €1,890,000 | €13,500 | 7.0% | 80 | 63 |
| Median comp | €4,350,000 | €15,297 | 5.3% | 85 | 67 |
Short-term vacation rental The property’s prime location in the Algarve tourist region presents a significant opportunity for short-term vacation rentals, appealing to seasonal demand. However, with a yield of only 1.2% gross, the investment may face challenges in generating substantial cash flow. Long-term rental This villa could be suited for long-term rental given its spacious layout, but the gross yield of 1.2% suggests limited attractiveness for yield-focused investors. The fair value status indicates that while this property meets current market expectations, it may not offer the best potential for long-term rental returns relative to its purchase price. Buy-and-hold Investing in this property as a buy-and-hold strategy may appeal to those seeking stability in a well-rated condition, but the current valuation is at a fair price point. The modest 1.2% yield and fair market standing may not support significant appreciation over time, indicating a cautious approach is warranted. Not ideal for Due to its specific features and fair market standing, this property is not ideal for student housing or catering to the luxury market. Its potential does not align with the high turnover and demand typically associated with those segments in Almancil, Loulé.
Economic Vulnerability Given the economic stability score of 60/100, there is a risk of fluctuating local economic conditions adversely impacting property values and rental income.
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Comparables, condition and location workings, yield and time-to-sell. Written up and emailed to you.
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