This listing includes AI condition scoring, neighbourhood intelligence, and market valuation data — giving you a complete picture before you visit. Compare rental yield, price per square metre, and location strength against the broader Portuguese market to assess whether this property fits your investment strategy.
3-bedroom, 4-bathroom house of 292 m², built in 2024, energy rating A. Located Encarnação parish, Mafra municipality, Lisbon district. Noteworthy Features: This villa boasts a versatile lower floor ideal for a home office and an inviting outdoor area with a heated saltwater pool and stunning sea views.
The valuation. The asking price of €1,500,000 sits €288,160 (23.8%) above the fair value of €1,211,840, indicating that the property is overpriced. This significant discrepancy raises concerns about its market appeal in the current economic climate.
Fair value modelled at €1,211,840 from 6 comparable sales in the area. Asking €1,500,000 sits €288,160 (23.8%) above — overpriced versus fair value.
Asking €1,500,000 versus the Encarnação, Mafra, Lisbon area baseline of €957,943 (€3,281/m²) for a median-condition unit of this size — the gap before quality adjustments.
AI Condition Index 84/100 is above the parish average, lifting fair value versus a typical-condition unit.
Recent nearby listings price above the wider parish average — a hyper-local premium distinct from the parish baseline.
Base gap of €957,943, adjusted for condition and micro-location, gives a modelled fair value of €1,211,840 (€4,150/m²), a €288,160 (23.8%) gap versus the €1,500,000 asking price.
| Reference | Status | Price | €/m² | vs subject | Condition | Location |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Encarnação · 2ce2e3 | Subject | €1,500,000 | €5,137 | — | 90 | 60 |
| caminho da Murteira | Active | €1,125,000 | €3,516 | 31.6% | 74 | 60 |
| Santo Isidoro · b7bf48 | Active | €1,300,000 | €4,153 | 19.1% | 80 | 62 |
| rua da Fontainha | Active | €1,500,000 | €6,073 | 18.2% | 85 | 58 |
| Santo Isidoro · 0239a9 | Active | €875,000 | €4,147 | 19.3% | 85 | 57 |
| Median comp | €1,212,500 | €4,150 | 19.2% | 83 | 59 |
Long-term rental The property's asking price of €1,500,000 exceeds the fair value of €1,211,840 by 23.8%, indicating it is overpriced for a long-term rental strategy. This gap, coupled with a gross yield of 0%, suggests a poor return on investment in a stable rental market. Family rental At €1,500,000, the house's price is significantly above its fair value of €1,211,840, making it overpriced for families seeking long-term rental options. The neighbourhood quality rating of 60/100 and a gross yield of 0% further diminish its attractiveness as a family rental opportunity. Buy-and-hold The asking price of €1,500,000 is 23.8% higher than the fair value of €1,211,840, categorizing the property as overpriced for a buy-and-hold investment strategy. This, combined with a lack of rental yield and modest conditions in the neighbourhood, diminishes the potential for long-term appreciation.
Economic and Tenant Risk The economic stability score of 65 and tenant stability score of 60 indicate a moderate risk due to potential fluctuations in income and tenant turnover that could impact cash flow.
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