This listing includes AI condition scoring, neighbourhood intelligence, and market valuation data — giving you a complete picture before you visit. Compare rental yield, price per square metre, and location strength against the broader Portuguese market to assess whether this property fits your investment strategy.
2-bedroom, 1-bathroom apartment of 80 m² on the 2nd floor, energy rating D. Located on rua dos Três Vales, Caparica e Trafaria parish, Almada municipality, Setúbal district. Noteworthy Features: The apartment's location offers immediate access to public transport and local amenities, enhancing both everyday convenience and investment potential in a thriving area near universities.
The valuation. The asking price of €195,000 is significantly above the fair value of €126,487, representing an overvaluation of €68,513 (54.2%). This price point may deter potential buyers looking for value. Buy-to-flip angle. A resale strategy focusing on cosmetic upgrades and renovations could create buyer appeal, although the current asking price may limit profit margins due to overvaluation. Targeting nearby investors could yield better opportunities. Buy-to-let angle. With an estimated rental income of €878 per month, the property offers a gross yield of 5.4%. The location’s proximity to Lisbon suggests stable demand for rental units, supporting a sustainable buy-and-hold strategy.
Fair value modelled at €126,487 from 6 comparable sales in the area. Asking €195,000 sits €68,513 (54.2%) above — overpriced versus fair value.
Asking €195,000 versus the rua dos Três Vales area baseline of €104,921 (€1,312/m²) for a median-condition unit of this size — the gap before quality adjustments.
AI Condition Index 70/100 is above the parish average, lifting fair value versus a typical-condition unit.
Recent nearby listings price above the wider parish average — a hyper-local premium distinct from the parish baseline.
Base gap of €104,921, adjusted for condition and micro-location, gives a modelled fair value of €126,487 (€1,581/m²), a €68,513 (54.2%) gap versus the €195,000 asking price.
| Reference | Status | Price | €/m² | vs subject | Condition | Location |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| rua dos Três Vales | Subject | €195,000 | €2,438 | — | 62 | 73 |
| rua dos Três Vales | Active | €310,000 | €1,107 | 54.6% | 80 | 76 |
| rua Dom João IV, 12 | Active | €178,000 | €2,738 | 12.3% | — | 73 |
| Almada, Cova da Piedade, Pragal e Cacilhas · 51cd16 | Active | €250,000 | €1,563 | 35.9% | 60 | 74 |
| Laranjeiro e Feijó · 622b44 | Active | €280,000 | €1,564 | 35.8% | 70 | 76 |
| Median comp | €265,000 | €1,564 | 35.9% | 70 | 75 |
Long-term rental Given the current listing price of €195,000 and a fair value of €126,487, this 2-bed apartment represents a gap of 54.2%, indicating it is overpriced for long-term rental purposes. Despite a gross yield of 5.4%, the high purchase price diminishes the attractiveness for sustained rental income. Buy-and-hold Considering the considerable pricing gap of 54.2% between market listing and fair value, this property does not offer a sound buy-and-hold investment opportunity. The overpriced nature of the apartment suggests uncertain returns and diminished long-term appreciation potential. Value-add renovation With the property condition rated at 70/100, any value-add renovation strategy may not fully justify the current listing price of €195,000, especially when fair value is estimated at only €126,487. The strong pricing pressure limits the feasibility and return on investment for any renovation efforts aimed at enhancing property value.
Economic Vulnerability The property carries a risk due to a moderate economic stability score of 70/100, suggesting potential fluctuations in market conditions that could affect rental income. Tenant Vulnerability While the tenant stability score is relatively strong at 75/100, there remains a risk that economic changes could impact tenant retention and demand.
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Comparables, condition and location workings, yield and time-to-sell. Written up and emailed to you.
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