This listing includes AI condition scoring, neighbourhood intelligence, and market valuation data — giving you a complete picture before you visit. Compare rental yield, price per square metre, and location strength against the broader Portuguese market to assess whether this property fits your investment strategy.
3-bedroom, 2-bathroom penthouse of 149 m², energy rating B. Located on rua José Carvalho Araújo, Cascais e Estoril parish, Cascais municipality, Lisbon district. This penthouse boasts an exclusive rooftop terrace with panoramic views of the Cascais coastline, ideal for outdoor entertaining or enjoying sunset vistas.
The valuation. The asking price of €1,295,000 is significantly above the fair value of €812,459, representing an overpriced position of €482,541 (37.3%). This discrepancy indicates that the property may not yield favorable returns based on current market conditions.
Fair value modelled at €812,459 from the area baseline, adjusted for condition and location. Asking €1,295,000 sits €482,541 (37.3%) above — overpriced versus fair value.
Asking €1,295,000 versus the rua José Carvalho Araújo area baseline of €711,773 (€4,777/m²) for a median-condition unit of this size — the gap before quality adjustments.
AI Condition Index 78/100 (Condition 75 · Materials 82 · Room dimensions 75). Above-median finish quality lifts fair value versus a baseline unit needing CapEx.
Neighbourhood score 73/100 (Housing Market 80 · Amenities 65 · Economic 75 · Tenant Quality 70). Strong amenities and housing-market momentum support a premium to baseline.
rua José Carvalho Araújo
Area baseline €711,773 + condition +€7,217 + location +€67,841 = modelled fair value of €812,459 (€5,453/m²), a €482,541 (37.3%) gap versus the €1,295,000 asking price.
| Reference | Status | Price | €/m² | vs subject | Condition | Location |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| rua José Carvalho Araújo | Subject | €1,295,000 | €8,691 | — | 75 | 73 |
| Cascais e Estoril · 65a6a8 | Active | €1,350,000 | €11,739 | 35.1% | 75 | 70 |
| Cascais e Estoril · 956f49 | Active | €1,550,000 | €12,500 | 43.8% | 78 | 64 |
| rua Diogo Cão, 78 | Active | €700,000 | €5,833 | 32.9% | 74 | 73 |
| Cascais e Estoril · 82c83f | Active | €1,950,000 | €11,207 | 28.9% | 80 | 67 |
| Median comp | €1,450,000 | €11,473 | 32.0% | 77 | 69 |
Long-term rental The property is overpriced at €1,295,000, contrasting sharply with the fair value of €812,459, resulting in a significant gap of 37.3%. The gross yield of 2.6% does not justify this premium, making it less attractive for long-term rental investment. Buy-and-hold With a fair value of €812,459, the penthouse's listing price of €1,295,000 indicates it is overpriced by 37.3%, raising concerns for future appreciation. The current condition score of 78/100 and neighborhood score of 73/100 suggest limited potential for value enhancement in a buy-and-hold strategy.
Economic downturn risk The economic stability score of 75 indicates potential vulnerability to fluctuations, while a tenant stability score of 70 suggests possible challenges in maintaining long-term occupancy, which may lead to income variability and investment uncertainty.
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Comparables, condition and location workings, yield and time-to-sell. Written up and emailed to you.
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