This listing includes AI condition scoring, neighbourhood intelligence, and market valuation data — giving you a complete picture before you visit. Compare rental yield, price per square metre, and location strength against the broader Portuguese market to assess whether this property fits your investment strategy.
5-bedroom, 5-bathroom villa of 561 m². Located Colares parish, Sintra municipality, Lisbon district. The property features expansive floor-to-ceiling windows that enhance the openness of the design while providing breathtaking views of the surrounding natural landscape.
The valuation. The asking price of €2,950,000 significantly exceeds the fair value of €1,270,373, resulting in an overpriced verdict of €1,679,627 (56.9%). This discrepancy indicates a substantial premium over market expectations.
Fair value modelled at €1,270,373 from the area baseline, adjusted for condition and location. Asking €2,950,000 sits €1,679,627 (56.9%) above — overpriced versus fair value.
Asking €2,950,000 versus the Colares, Sintra, Lisbon area baseline of €2,226,048 (€3,968/m²) for a median-condition unit of this size — the gap before quality adjustments.
AI Condition Index 89/100 (Condition 90 · Materials 88 · Room dimensions 88). Above-median finish quality lifts fair value versus a baseline unit needing CapEx.
Neighbourhood score 70/100 (Housing Market 70 · Amenities 65 · Economic 65 · Tenant Quality 75). Strong amenities and housing-market momentum support a premium to baseline.
Colares, Sintra, Lisbon
Area baseline €2,226,048 + condition +€70,125 + location +€88,907 = modelled fair value of €1,270,373 (€2,264/m²), a €1,679,627 (56.9%) gap versus the €2,950,000 asking price.
| Reference | Status | Price | €/m² | vs subject | Condition | Location |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colares · b7b80f | Subject | €2,950,000 | €5,258 | — | 90 | 70 |
| Colares · b7b7e9 | Active | €3,300,000 | €6,033 | 14.7% | 85 | 72 |
| rua do Cancelo | Active | €1,290,000 | €7,167 | 36.3% | 85 | 71 |
| Alcabideche · 0dce08 | Active | €1,500,000 | €6,250 | 18.9% | 80 | 75 |
| rua da Enxidra | Active | €1,700,000 | €2,810 | 46.6% | 65 | 72 |
| Median comp | €1,600,000 | €6,142 | 16.8% | 83 | 72 |
Long-term rental The property is significantly overpriced at €2,950,000 compared to a fair value of €1,270,373, which limits its attractiveness for long-term rental strategies. Despite a decent gross yield of 6.4%, the 56.9% gap from fair value suggests insufficient equity returns in this suburban Lisbon market. Buy-and-hold Investing in this villa as a buy-and-hold strategy is not advisable given its current listing price, which is 56.9% above fair value. The potential long-term appreciation is overshadowed by the risk of overvaluation and lack of economic incentives in the surrounding neighborhood to justify such a steep price. Family rental Although the property is positioned within a family-oriented suburb of Lisbon, its current price trajectory indicates it is overpriced by 56.9% against its fair value. Additionally, the neighborhood’s amenities and tenant quality do not align with the price point required for a sustainable family rental investment.
Economic Vulnerability The property's economic stability score of 65/100 indicates a moderate risk of economic downturns affecting tenant demand or rental income.
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Comparables, condition and location workings, yield and time-to-sell. Written up and emailed to you.
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