This listing includes AI condition scoring, neighbourhood intelligence, and market valuation data — giving you a complete picture before you visit. Compare rental yield, price per square metre, and location strength against the broader Portuguese market to assess whether this property fits your investment strategy.
5-bedroom, 4-bathroom house of 428 m², built in 1971, energy rating C. Located Carcavelos e Parede parish, Cascais municipality, Lisbon district. Noteworthy features: This villa includes a private gym and is situated within walking distance to prestigious international schools, enhancing its appeal for families seeking quality education options nearby.
The valuation. The asking price of €3,400,000 is significantly above the fair value of €2,365,439, reflecting an overpricing of €1,034,561 (30.4%). Thus, the property does not represent a fair deal in the current market. Buy-to-flip angle. The buy-to-flip strategy might not yield substantial profits, given the high initial price; a market correction in Cascais may provide potential for resale, but significant gains are uncertain. Buy-to-let angle. The rental income strategy targets a gross yield of 2%, with estimated monthly rent of €5,667; however, the high asking price limits profitability for long-term investment.
Fair value modelled at €2,365,439 from the area baseline, adjusted for condition and location. Asking €3,400,000 sits €1,034,561 (30.4%) above — overpriced versus fair value.
Asking €3,400,000 versus the Carcavelos e Parede, Cascais, Lisbon area baseline of €2,118,172 (€4,949/m²) for a median-condition unit of this size — the gap before quality adjustments.
AI Condition Index 77/100 (Condition 70 · Materials 80 · Room dimensions 80). Above-median finish quality lifts fair value versus a baseline unit needing CapEx.
Neighbourhood score 78/100 (Housing Market 80 · Amenities 75 · Economic 80 · Tenant Quality 75). Strong amenities and housing-market momentum support a premium to baseline.
Carcavelos e Parede, Cascais, Lisbon
Area baseline €2,118,172 + condition +€10,031 + location +€237,235 = modelled fair value of €2,365,439 (€5,527/m²), a €1,034,561 (30.4%) gap versus the €3,400,000 asking price.
| Reference | Status | Price | €/m² | vs subject | Condition | Location |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carcavelos e Parede · 4ba1de | Subject | €3,400,000 | €7,944 | — | 70 | 78 |
| rua Angelo Dias | Active | €2,000,000 | €6,780 | 14.7% | 70 | 72 |
| Cascais e Estoril · 1e63b6 | Active | €2,200,000 | €6,567 | 17.3% | 70 | 74 |
| Carcavelos e Parede · 49b7b0 | Active | €2,200,000 | €6,962 | 12.4% | 76 | 75 |
| praça do Junqueiro | Active | €1,950,000 | €5,214 | 34.4% | 72 | 64 |
| Median comp | €2,100,000 | €6,674 | 16.0% | 71 | 73 |
Long-term rental Given the 2% gross yield, the property may not generate sufficient income to justify its current price of €3,400,000, which is significantly above the fair value of €2,365,439. This makes the investment less attractive for long-term rental compared to alternatives in the market that offer better yields. Family rental The property's location in Carcavelos e Parede is suitable for families, but at a listing price that is overpriced by 30.4%, potential returns might not meet the expectations for family rentals. Additionally, the condition and neighborhood ratings, while decent, do not substantiate the elevated asking price, indicating a mismatch between value and rental appeal. Buy-and-hold With an unfavorable valuation disparity, investing in this property as a buy-and-hold strategy poses significant risks, especially given its listing price exceeds fair value by over €1 million. Therefore, the long-term capital appreciation potential may not be sufficient to compensate for the high initial investment and low yield. Not ideal for Given the pricing and rental yield dynamics, this property is not suitable for short-term vacation rentals or student housing, as these markets often require more competitive pricing to attract a steady influx of tenants. The combination of being overpriced and lower rental yields further diminishes its appeal in these specific segments.
Tenant turnover risk With a tenant stability score of 75/100, there is a possibility of increased turnover, which can lead to additional costs and vacancy periods that affect overall investment returns.
