This listing includes AI condition scoring, neighbourhood intelligence, and market valuation data — giving you a complete picture before you visit. Compare rental yield, price per square metre, and location strength against the broader Portuguese market to assess whether this property fits your investment strategy.
4-bedroom, 4-bathroom house of 316 m², energy rating C. Located Carcavelos e Parede parish, Cascais municipality, Lisbon district. Noteworthy Features: The property includes a spacious living room with a heat recovery system and offers direct access to a private terrace, enhancing indoor-outdoor living. Additional Context: With its proximity to the sea and impressive communal amenities, this home epitomizes luxury in a tranquil setting.
The valuation. The asking price of €2,200,000 sits significantly above the fair value of €1,744,960, representing an excess of €455,040 (20.7%). Verdict: overpriced. Buy-to-flip angle. A resale strategy focusing on high demand in the Cascais area could yield quick returns, yet the current listing price limits immediate profit potential. Buy-to-let angle. With an estimated gross yield of 2.7%, the property can generate around €4,950 per month, appealing for long-term family rentals in the suburban areas of Greater Lisbon.
Fair value modelled at €1,744,960 from the area baseline, adjusted for condition and location. Asking €2,200,000 sits €455,040 (20.7%) above — overpriced versus fair value.
Asking €2,200,000 versus the Carcavelos e Parede, Cascais, Lisbon area baseline of €1,563,884 (€4,949/m²) for a median-condition unit of this size — the gap before quality adjustments.
AI Condition Index 80/100 (Condition 76 · Materials 82 · Room dimensions 80). Above-median finish quality lifts fair value versus a baseline unit needing CapEx.
Neighbourhood score 75/100 (Housing Market 80 · Amenities 70 · Economic 80 · Tenant Quality 70). Strong amenities and housing-market momentum support a premium to baseline.
Carcavelos e Parede, Cascais, Lisbon
Area baseline €1,563,884 + condition +€24,688 + location +€156,388 = modelled fair value of €1,744,960 (€5,522/m²), a €455,040 (20.7%) gap versus the €2,200,000 asking price.
| Reference | Status | Price | €/m² | vs subject | Condition | Location |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carcavelos e Parede · 49b7b0 | Subject | €2,200,000 | €6,962 | — | 76 | 75 |
| Cascais e Estoril · 1e63b6 | Active | €2,200,000 | €6,567 | 5.7% | 70 | 74 |
| rua Angelo Dias | Active | €2,000,000 | €6,780 | 2.6% | 70 | 72 |
| São Domingos de Rana · f36021 | Active | €598,000 | €5,750 | 17.4% | 90 | 73 |
| rua Sacadura Cabral, 4 | Active | €925,000 | €5,781 | 17.0% | 75 | 73 |
| Median comp | €1,462,500 | €6,174 | 11.3% | 73 | 73 |
Long-term rental The property is overpriced at €2,200,000 compared to a fair value of €1,744,960, leading to a 20.7% gap that could limit long-term rental returns. With a gross yield of only 2.7%, investors may find better opportunities elsewhere for consistent cash flow. Buy-and-hold Investing in this property as a buy-and-hold strategy may not yield satisfactory returns given the current overvaluation, with a notable 20.7% gap from fair value. The low yield of 2.7% further diminishes its potential for long-term capital appreciation. Family rental While the property is in a decent neighborhood with quality amenities, it is overpriced at €2,200,000, creating a significantly unfavorable investment scenario for family rentals. The expected rental income at such a high purchase price makes it challenging to justify the investment for family housing purposes.
Tenant turnover risk The tenant stability score of 70/100 indicates a moderate risk of tenant turnover, which could lead to increased vacancy rates and lost rental income.
