This listing includes AI condition scoring, neighbourhood intelligence, and market valuation data — giving you a complete picture before you visit. Compare rental yield, price per square metre, and location strength against the broader Portuguese market to assess whether this property fits your investment strategy.
2-bedroom, 2-bathroom house of 168 m², built in 1989, energy rating F. Located Mafra parish, Mafra municipality, Lisbon district. Noteworthy Features: The property offers a south/west facing terrace that provides unobstructed views of the Sintra Mountains and the coastline of Ericeira, enhancing its appeal for outdoor living.
The valuation. The asking price of €450,000 is positioned significantly above the fair value of €317,283, resulting in an overpricing of €132,717 (29.5%). This suggests that buyers should proceed with caution as the market rate does not support the current listing. Buy-to-flip angle. A resale strategy for this property may focus on minor renovations to enhance appeal, potentially allowing for a profitable flip, though initial costs could limit margin based on the high purchase price. Buy-to-let angle. With a gross yield of 2.3% and estimated rental income of €862/month, a buy-and-hold strategy could generate steady revenue; however, the yield indicates that investment returns may not meet typical investor expectations.
Fair value modelled at €317,283 from the area baseline, adjusted for condition and location. Asking €450,000 sits €132,717 (29.5%) above — overpriced versus fair value.
Asking €450,000 versus the Mafra, Mafra, Lisbon area baseline of €540,960 (€3,220/m²) for a median-condition unit of this size — the gap before quality adjustments.
AI Condition Index 63/100 (Condition 60 · Materials 65 · Room dimensions 68). Below-median condition lowers fair value versus a renovated baseline unit.
Neighbourhood score 62/100 (Housing Market 60 · Amenities 60 · Economic 65 · Tenant Quality 65). Strong amenities and housing-market momentum support a premium to baseline.
Mafra, Mafra, Lisbon
Area baseline €540,960 + condition -€31,500 + location +€15,975 = modelled fair value of €317,283 (€1,889/m²), a €132,717 (29.5%) gap versus the €450,000 asking price.
| Reference | Status | Price | €/m² | vs subject | Condition | Location |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mafra · 99f198 | Subject | €450,000 | €2,679 | — | 60 | 62 |
| Mafra · 82c819 | Active | €495,000 | €2,912 | 8.7% | 68 | 67 |
| Mafra · 4babcc | Active | €495,000 | €2,450 | 8.5% | 75 | 56 |
| Malveira e São Miguel de Alcainça · 001ae8 | Active | €340,000 | €3,119 | 16.5% | 70 | 58 |
| Mafra · ba5be2 | Active | €1,299,000 | €4,724 | 76.3% | 72 | 63 |
| Median comp | €495,000 | €3,016 | 12.6% | 71 | 61 |
Long-term rental The current listing price of €450,000 reflects an overvaluation of 29.5% against its fair value of €317,283, making it a questionable choice for long-term rental investment. With a gross yield of only 2.3% and average condition and neighbourhood ratings, prospective returns may not justify the high entry cost. Family rental Given the significant gap from fair value and the low gross yield of 2.3%, this property is overpriced for use as a family rental. The suburban location offers some advantages but may not align well with the financial expectations typical for family-oriented tenants. Buy-and-hold As the property is priced at €450,000, well above the fair value of €317,283, the buy-and-hold strategy is not compelling due to the 29.5% overpricing. Investors should consider whether the potential appreciation in this suburban market can compensate for the current high cost and low yield expectations.
Economic sensitivity The property's performance may be vulnerable to economic fluctuations, as indicated by the mid-range economic stability score of 65/100, which could affect tenant retention and rental income stability.
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Comparables, condition and location workings, yield and time-to-sell. Written up and emailed to you.
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