This listing includes AI condition scoring, neighbourhood intelligence, and market valuation data — giving you a complete picture before you visit. Compare rental yield, price per square metre, and location strength against the broader Portuguese market to assess whether this property fits your investment strategy.
3-bedroom, 3-bathroom country_house of 182 m², built in 1989, energy rating C. Located on rua Espinho, Cascais e Estoril parish, Cascais municipality, Lisbon district. Noteworthy Features: Offers a charming boutique hotel-style ambiance with bespoke carpentry and a mezzanine skylight, enhancing the luxurious, modern living experience in a tranquil neighborhood.
The valuation. The asking price of €1,575,000 sits significantly above fair value at €1,009,937, resulting in an overpriced assessment of €565,063 (35.9%). This price level does not reflect the property's actual worth. Buy-to-flip angle. A buy-to-flip strategy could focus on cosmetic enhancements to attract buyers and capitalize on the upscale appeal of the area, although the current price leaves little room for profit. Buy-to-let angle. In a buy-to-let approach, the estimated gross yield of 2.6% (~€3,412/month) reflects a lower return, indicating the need for effective property management to maximize rental income in this competitive market.
Fair value modelled at €1,009,937 from the area baseline, adjusted for condition and location. Asking €1,575,000 sits €565,063 (35.9%) above — overpriced versus fair value.
Asking €1,575,000 versus the rua Espinho area baseline of €869,414 (€4,777/m²) for a median-condition unit of this size — the gap before quality adjustments.
AI Condition Index 87/100 (Condition 90 · Materials 88 · Room dimensions 85). Above-median finish quality lifts fair value versus a baseline unit needing CapEx.
Neighbourhood score 74/100 (Housing Market 80 · Amenities 75 · Economic 70 · Tenant Quality 70). Strong amenities and housing-market momentum support a premium to baseline.
rua Espinho
Area baseline €869,414 + condition +€22,750 + location +€86,469 = modelled fair value of €1,009,937 (€5,549/m²), a €565,063 (35.9%) gap versus the €1,575,000 asking price.
| Reference | Status | Price | €/m² | vs subject | Condition | Location |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| rua Espinho | Subject | €1,575,000 | €8,654 | — | 90 | 74 |
| rua Aquilino Ribeiro | Active | €800,000 | €5,674 | 34.4% | 76 | 74 |
| Cascais e Estoril · ba3f55 | Active | €1,950,000 | €10,263 | 18.6% | 79 | 69 |
| Cascais e Estoril · 0dccf1 | Active | €1,200,000 | €5,660 | 34.6% | 71 | 72 |
| Cascais e Estoril · 65a6bb | Active | €1,700,000 | €6,250 | 27.8% | 79 | 74 |
| Median comp | €1,450,000 | €5,962 | 31.1% | 78 | 73 |
Long-term rental This property, with a yield of only 2.6%, does not represent a sound long-term investment given its pricing significantly exceeds the fair value by 35.9%. Additionally, while the condition and location are appealing, they do not sufficiently justify the high asking price amidst a competitive rental market. Family rental Despite attractive features for family living, the property being listed at €1,575,000 is excessively high compared to the fair value, suggesting that potential rental income may not align with the investment needed. Families looking for good value may seek alternatives that do not carry the same price premium despite similar living conditions. Buy-and-hold Investing in this property as a buy-and-hold strategy appears risky, as its current listing price is 35.9% above the fair value, which constricts potential capital appreciation. The suburban charm of Cascais may attract tenants, but this does not offset the financial imprudence of acquiring an overpriced asset.
Economic and Tenant Stability Risk The property has a moderate economic stability score of 70/100 and a tenant stability score of 70/100, indicating that there could be volatility in tenant retention and economic performance, potentially affecting rental income.
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Comparables, condition and location workings, yield and time-to-sell. Written up and emailed to you.
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