This listing includes AI condition scoring, neighbourhood intelligence, and market valuation data — giving you a complete picture before you visit. Compare rental yield, price per square metre, and location strength against the broader Portuguese market to assess whether this property fits your investment strategy.
3-bedroom, 2-bathroom villa of 159 m², built in 1968. Located Alvorninha parish, Caldas da Rainha municipality, Leiria district. NOTABLE FEATURE: The ground floor's open layout presents a unique opportunity for creative reconfiguration, enabling a customized interior design that maximizes space and functionality.
The valuation. The asking price of €137,000 exceeds the fair value by €126,312 (92.2%), indicating the property is overpriced. This valuation is noteworthy given the substantial difference between expectations and the market’s assessment of value.
Fair value modelled at €10,688 from the area baseline, adjusted for condition and location. Asking €137,000 sits €126,312 (92.2%) above — overpriced versus fair value.
Asking €137,000 versus the Alvorninha, Caldas da Rainha, Leiria area baseline of €295,104 (€1,856/m²) for a median-condition unit of this size — the gap before quality adjustments.
AI Condition Index 20/100 (Condition 12 · Materials 25 · Room dimensions 30). Below-median condition lowers fair value versus a renovated baseline unit.
Neighbourhood score 54/100 (Housing Market 50 · Amenities 55 · Economic 50 · Tenant Quality 60). Strong amenities and housing-market momentum support a premium to baseline.
Alvorninha, Caldas da Rainha, Leiria
Area baseline €295,104 + condition -€136,641 + location +€2,320 = modelled fair value of €10,688 (€67/m²), a €126,312 (92.2%) gap versus the €137,000 asking price.
| Reference | Status | Price | €/m² | vs subject | Condition | Location |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alvorninha · b784d1 | Subject | €137,000 | €862 | — | 12 | 54 |
| Caldas da Rainha - Santo Onofre e Serra do Bouro · 65ed8a | Active | €200,000 | €943 | 9.5% | — | 53 |
| Vermelha · bf27d7 | Active | €179,900 | €501 | 41.8% | 25 | 53 |
| rua Engenheiro Adelino Amaro da Costa, 79 | Active | €203,000 | €1,063 | 23.4% | 15 | 58 |
| Painho e Figueiros · 6d5182 | Active | €270,000 | €2,231 | 159.0% | 34 | 53 |
| Median comp | €201,500 | €1,003 | 16.4% | 25 | 53 |
Buy-and-hold This 3-bed villa in Alvorninha is overpriced, with a gap to fair value of 92.2%, suggesting limited potential for capital appreciation. Additionally, the poor condition rating of 20/100 could lead to high maintenance costs that further erode returns over time. Family rental The property’s pricing does not present a compelling opportunity for family rental, given the significant discrepancy from its fair value at €10,688. While the yield of 6.5% seems appealing, the limited tenant pool and the neighborhood rating of 54/100 may hinder consistent occupancy and rental income.
Economic Instability Risk The economic stability score of 50/100 suggests a potential high risk of economic downturns affecting property value and rental income.
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Comparables, condition and location workings, yield and time-to-sell. Written up and emailed to you.
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