This listing includes AI condition scoring, neighbourhood intelligence, and market valuation data — giving you a complete picture before you visit. Compare rental yield, price per square metre, and location strength against the broader Portuguese market to assess whether this property fits your investment strategy.
3-bedroom, 2-bathroom penthouse of 149 m², energy rating B. Located on rua José Carvalho Araújo, Cascais e Estoril parish, Cascais municipality, Lisbon district. Noteworthy Features: This penthouse boasts a generous outdoor terrace perfect for entertaining, enhancing the living space with panoramic views of the surrounding area. Condition Notes: The property reflects an immaculate upkeep with premium materials used in the recent renovations.
The valuation. The asking price of €1,295,000 is significantly above the fair value of €829,766, creating an excess of €465,234 (35.9%). This property is considered overpriced.
Fair value modelled at €829,766 from the area baseline, adjusted for condition and location. Asking €1,295,000 sits €465,234 (35.9%) above — overpriced versus fair value.
Asking €1,295,000 versus the rua José Carvalho Araújo area baseline of €711,773 (€4,777/m²) for a median-condition unit of this size — the gap before quality adjustments.
AI Condition Index 83/100 (Condition 80 · Materials 85 · Room dimensions 82). Above-median finish quality lifts fair value versus a baseline unit needing CapEx.
Neighbourhood score 75/100 (Housing Market 80 · Amenities 70 · Economic 80 · Tenant Quality 75). Strong amenities and housing-market momentum support a premium to baseline.
rua José Carvalho Araújo
Area baseline €711,773 + condition +€18,625 + location +€73,740 = modelled fair value of €829,766 (€5,569/m²), a €465,234 (35.9%) gap versus the €1,295,000 asking price.
| Reference | Status | Price | €/m² | vs subject | Condition | Location |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| rua José Carvalho Araújo | Subject | €1,295,000 | €8,691 | — | 80 | 75 |
| Cascais e Estoril · 65a6a8 | Active | €1,350,000 | €11,739 | 35.1% | 75 | 70 |
| Cascais e Estoril · 956f49 | Active | €1,550,000 | €12,500 | 43.8% | 78 | 64 |
| Cascais e Estoril · 82c83f | Active | €1,950,000 | €11,207 | 28.9% | 80 | 67 |
| Alcabideche · 93738a | Active | €1,300,000 | €8,025 | 7.7% | 90 | 68 |
| Median comp | €1,450,000 | €11,473 | 32.0% | 79 | 68 |
Long-term rental The 3-bed penthouse in Cascais e Estoril is currently overpriced at €1,295,000, with a fair value of only €829,766, indicating a significant gap of 35.9%. At a gross yield of 2.3%, this investment is unlikely to provide attractive returns for long-term rental performance. Family rental Although the property has a decent condition rating of 83/100, the high listing price makes it difficult to justify for family rental purposes. Families seeking rental accommodations will be deterred by the excessive pricing despite the neighborhood’s respectable amenities and safety profile. Buy-and-hold Given its higher than fair value price point and a lack of compelling yield at 2.3%, holding this property long-term may not generate the expected capital appreciation. Investors should be cautious, as the property is overpriced and may face challenges in maintaining value in the current housing market context. Not ideal for Luxury market The luxury market is characterized by distinct features and potential buyers whose expectations are not met by an overpriced listing like this one. The combination of fair value concerns and competitiveness in the luxury segment further substantiates its mismatch. Not ideal for Student housing The 3-bed penthouse doesn’t align well with student housing demands due to its high price tag, which is not reflective of typical student budgets. Additionally, the stable but moderate neighborhood ranking suggests limited appeal to the student demographic, which tends to seek more affordable options.
Potential Economic Downturn The property is currently rated with an economic stability score of 80/100, which, while relatively high, may still expose it to risks in the event of an economic downturn affecting tenant stability that is rated at 75/100.
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Comparables, condition and location workings, yield and time-to-sell. Written up and emailed to you.
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