This listing includes AI condition scoring, neighbourhood intelligence, and market valuation data — giving you a complete picture before you visit. Compare rental yield, price per square metre, and location strength against the broader Portuguese market to assess whether this property fits your investment strategy.
3-bedroom, 2-bathroom villa of 129 m², built in 2015, energy rating A. Located Carvalhal parish, Grândola municipality, Setúbal district. Noteworthy Features: This villa features an open-plan kitchen with direct pool access and an en-suite master bedroom with an Italian-style shower, enhancing the luxurious living experience.
The valuation. The asking price of €1,480,000 is significantly above the fair value of €215,267, presenting an overvaluation of €1,264,733 or 85.5%. This property is not a sound investment based on its current pricing. Buy-to-flip angle. A buy-and-flip strategy is not advisable given the substantial difference between the asking price and market value, with resale potential appearing limited until significant price adjustments occur. Buy-to-let angle. The estimated gross yield is 0%, indicating no current rental income potential, making it unsuitable for buy-to-let investment strategies in its present state.
Fair value modelled at €215,267 from the area baseline, adjusted for condition and location. Asking €1,480,000 sits €1,264,733 (85.5%) above — overpriced versus fair value.
Asking €1,480,000 versus the Carvalhal, Grândola, Setúbal area baseline of €221,880 (€1,720/m²) for a median-condition unit of this size — the gap before quality adjustments.
AI Condition Index 82/100 (Condition 80 · Materials 85 · Room dimensions 80). Above-median finish quality lifts fair value versus a baseline unit needing CapEx.
Neighbourhood score 45/100 (Housing Market 40 · Amenities 45 · Economic 35 · Tenant Quality 50). Softer demand indicators apply a discount to baseline.
Carvalhal, Grândola, Setúbal
Area baseline €221,880 + condition +€14,513 + location -€4,097 = modelled fair value of €215,267 (€1,669/m²), a €1,264,733 (85.5%) gap versus the €1,480,000 asking price.
| Reference | Status | Price | €/m² | vs subject | Condition | Location |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carvalhal · 0dcbbb | Subject | €1,480,000 | €11,473 | — | 80 | 45 |
| rua 2 Sul | Active | €830,000 | €5,461 | 52.4% | 80 | 51 |
| alameda de Troia S / N | Active | €950,000 | €5,975 | 47.9% | 80 | 51 |
| alameda do Zambujeiro | Active | €845,000 | €4,333 | 62.2% | 73 | 49 |
| via Ferry / Catamaran | Active | €830,000 | €5,461 | 52.4% | 75 | 50 |
| Median comp | €837,500 | €5,461 | 52.4% | 78 | 51 |
Long-term rental The property in Carvalhal, Grândola is not suitable for long-term rental due to its significant price gap of 85.5% above fair value, which results in an untenable yield of 0%. Additionally, with a low neighbourhood score of 45/100, tenant quality and market demand appear compromised, further confirming its overpriced status. Buy-and-hold Acquiring this villa as a buy-and-hold investment is ill-advised, given that its listing price of €1,480,000 far exceeds the fair valuation of €215,267 with an 85.5% difference. The property’s low neighbourhood rating of 45/100 indicates limited future appreciation potential, making it an unappealing choice for a long-term hold in a rural area dependent on agriculture.
Economic Vulnerability The property faces significant risk due to a low economic stability score of 35/100, indicating potential economic downturns that could impact rental income. Tenant Instability With a tenant stability score of 50/100, there is a moderate risk that tenant turnover could be higher than desirable, affecting consistent cash flow.
