This listing includes AI condition scoring, neighbourhood intelligence, and market valuation data — giving you a complete picture before you visit. Compare rental yield, price per square metre, and location strength against the broader Portuguese market to assess whether this property fits your investment strategy.
2-bedroom, 4-bathroom villa of 195 m², energy rating B. Located on alameda do Zambujeiro, Carvalhal parish, Grândola municipality, Setúbal district. This villa features a unique attic space with panoramic sea and mountain views, designed to seamlessly blend modern comfort with its natural surroundings.
The valuation. The asking price of €845,000 is significantly higher than the fair value of €312,382, reflecting an overpricing of €532,618, or 63.0%. This property is not a viable investment relative to its true worth. Buy-to-flip angle. A buy-and-flip strategy may be challenging due to the high initial investment, with substantial renovations needed to justify resale. The mixed neighborhood scores suggest limited appreciation potential in the short term. Buy-to-let angle. With an estimated rental income of €1,831/month, the gross yield is approximately 2.6%. Given the rural setting, tenant demand may be uncertain due to limited urban amenities.
Fair value modelled at €312,382 from the area baseline, adjusted for condition and location. Asking €845,000 sits €532,618 (63.0%) above — overpriced versus fair value.
Asking €845,000 versus the alameda do Zambujeiro area baseline of €335,400 (€1,720/m²) for a median-condition unit of this size — the gap before quality adjustments.
AI Condition Index 76/100 (Condition 73 · Materials 78 · Room dimensions 80). Above-median finish quality lifts fair value versus a baseline unit needing CapEx.
Neighbourhood score 49/100 (Housing Market 40 · Amenities 40 · Economic 35 · Tenant Quality 55). Softer demand indicators apply a discount to baseline.
alameda do Zambujeiro
Area baseline €335,400 + condition +€3,961 + location -€1,239 = modelled fair value of €312,382 (€1,602/m²), a €532,618 (63.0%) gap versus the €845,000 asking price.
| Reference | Status | Price | €/m² | vs subject | Condition | Location |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| alameda do Zambujeiro | Subject | €845,000 | €4,333 | — | 73 | 49 |
| alameda de Troia S / N | Active | €950,000 | €5,975 | 37.9% | 80 | 51 |
| via Ferry / Catamaran | Active | €830,000 | €5,461 | 26.0% | 75 | 50 |
| rua 2 Sul | Active | €830,000 | €5,461 | 26.0% | 80 | 51 |
| alameda do Zambujeiro, 15 | Active | €780,000 | €4,785 | 10.4% | 75 | 46 |
| Median comp | €830,000 | €5,461 | 26.0% | 78 | 51 |
Long-term rental The 2-bed villa in Carvalhal is priced at €845,000, which is a staggering 63.0% above the fair value of €312,382, indicating it is overpriced. The low yield of 2.6% combined with a neighborhood score of 49/100 suggests that long-term rental viability in this rural area is significantly limited. Buy-and-hold At €845,000, this property represents an investment that is not aligned with its fair market value of €312,382, marking it as overpriced by 63.0%. With a condition rating of 76/100, potential capital appreciation may not compensate for the significant initial overvaluation observed in this rural Alentejo location.
Economic Vulnerability With an economic stability score of 35/100, the potential for market fluctuations and downturns poses a significant risk to property value and income stability.
