This listing includes AI condition scoring, neighbourhood intelligence, and market valuation data — giving you a complete picture before you visit. Compare rental yield, price per square metre, and location strength against the broader Portuguese market to assess whether this property fits your investment strategy.
3-bedroom, 5-bathroom villa of 152 m², built in 2010, energy rating B. Located on via Ferry / Catamaran, Carvalhal parish, Grândola municipality, Setúbal district. This villa features two spacious balconies offering stunning sea views, enhancing its appeal as a luxurious coastal retreat in an exclusive community.
The valuation. The asking price of €830,000 sits significantly above the fair value of €249,689, creating an overpricing of €580,312 (69.9%). This discrepancy suggests that the property is overpriced for potential investors. Buy-to-flip angle. A buy-to-flip strategy would require capital investment to improve the property before resale, but given the current valuation, the return on investment may not justify the risks associated with a quick flip. Buy-to-let angle. With an estimated gross yield of 2.7%, generating approximately €1,868 per month, the buy-to-let strategy might offer steady income; however, it reflects a lower return relative to market standards given the pricing context.
Fair value modelled at €249,689 from the area baseline, adjusted for condition and location. Asking €830,000 sits €580,312 (69.9%) above — overpriced versus fair value.
Asking €830,000 versus the via Ferry / Catamaran area baseline of €261,440 (€1,720/m²) for a median-condition unit of this size — the gap before quality adjustments.
AI Condition Index 79/100 (Condition 75 · Materials 82 · Room dimensions 76). Above-median finish quality lifts fair value versus a baseline unit needing CapEx.
Neighbourhood score 50/100 (Housing Market 55 · Amenities 50 · Economic 45 · Tenant Quality 50). Strong amenities and housing-market momentum support a premium to baseline.
via Ferry / Catamaran
Area baseline €261,440 + condition +€8,313 + location +€0 = modelled fair value of €249,689 (€1,643/m²), a €580,312 (69.9%) gap versus the €830,000 asking price.
| Reference | Status | Price | €/m² | vs subject | Condition | Location |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| via Ferry / Catamaran | Subject | €830,000 | €5,461 | — | 75 | 50 |
| alameda do Zambujeiro | Active | €845,000 | €4,333 | 20.6% | 73 | 49 |
| alameda de Troia S / N | Active | €950,000 | €5,975 | 9.4% | 80 | 51 |
| rua 2 Sul | Active | €830,000 | €5,461 | 0% | 80 | 51 |
| alameda do Zambujeiro, 15 | Active | €780,000 | €4,785 | 12.4% | 75 | 46 |
| Median comp | €837,500 | €5,123 | 6.2% | 78 | 50 |
Buy-and-hold This property in Carvalhal is overpriced at €830,000, significantly exceeding its fair value of €249,689, presenting a 69.9% gap. With a low yield of 2.7% and a neighbourhood score of 50/100, the long-term equity growth potential appears limited in this rural-suburban mix. Family rental Given its high listing price and the neighbourhood's average amenities, this 3-bed villa is not an attractive option for family rental investments. The property's yield of 2.7% and proximity to Setúbal do not compensate for its current overvaluation and the overall quality of the area. Not ideal for Given the property's condition rating of 79/100 and neighbourhood score of 50/100, it is not suited for short-term vacation rentals or the luxury market. The significant gap from fair value underscores the risks associated with these strategies.
Economic and Tenant Instability Risk: With an economic stability score of 45/100 and a tenant stability score of 50/100, there is a significant risk of fluctuations in rental income and higher vacancy rates affecting investment returns.
