This listing includes AI condition scoring, neighbourhood intelligence, and market valuation data — giving you a complete picture before you visit. Compare rental yield, price per square metre, and location strength against the broader Portuguese market to assess whether this property fits your investment strategy.
3-bedroom, 3-bathroom house of 160 m², built in 1970. Located Ericeira parish, Mafra municipality, Lisbon district. The property features a versatile attic space prepped for leisure or office use, and a separate kitchen and living room on the lower floor with direct outdoor access for easy entertaining.
The valuation. The asking price of €550,000 is significantly above the fair value of €303,174, indicating an excess of €246,826 (44.9%). This property can be categorized as overpriced and may require reconsideration of investment strategy. Buy-to-flip angle. A buy-to-flip strategy may prove challenging given the property’s asking price compared to its fair value. Potential investors might need to significantly lower renovation costs to achieve resale profitability. Buy-to-let angle. With a gross yield of 4.3%, the rental income strategy could yield approximately €1,971 per month. Targeting long-term rentals in a mixed neighborhood may help maximize occupancy despite the property being overpriced.
Fair value modelled at €303,174 from the area baseline, adjusted for condition and location. Asking €550,000 sits €246,826 (44.9%) above — overpriced versus fair value.
Asking €550,000 versus the Ericeira, Mafra, Lisbon area baseline of €695,840 (€4,349/m²) for a median-condition unit of this size — the gap before quality adjustments.
AI Condition Index 71/100 (Condition 72 · Materials 75 · Room dimensions 70). Below-median condition lowers fair value versus a renovated baseline unit.
Neighbourhood score 48/100 (Housing Market 50 · Amenities 40 · Economic 50 · Tenant Quality 50). Softer demand indicators apply a discount to baseline.
Ericeira, Mafra, Lisbon
Area baseline €695,840 + condition -€11,250 + location -€2,536 = modelled fair value of €303,174 (€1,895/m²), a €246,826 (44.9%) gap versus the €550,000 asking price.
| Reference | Status | Price | €/m² | vs subject | Condition | Location |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ericeira · 65a46e | Subject | €550,000 | €3,438 | — | 72 | 48 |
| Ericeira · de0b86 | Active | €649,000 | €4,031 | 17.3% | 68 | 59 |
| urbanização Moinhos do Mar | Active | €460,000 | €3,932 | 14.4% | 60 | 55 |
| Ericeira · 0015c2 | Active | €609,500 | €4,146 | 20.6% | 75 | 53 |
| urbanização Moinhos do Mar, 129 | Active | €630,000 | €5,727 | 66.6% | 62 | 56 |
| Median comp | €619,750 | €4,089 | 18.9% | 65 | 56 |
Long-term rental Investing in this property for long-term rental is not advisable given its 44.9% premium over fair value, which translates to a challenging initial yield of 4.3%. With a neighbourhood rating of 48/100, the potential tenant pool may be limited and less desirable, leading to risks in long-term occupancy. Family rental With a property listing of €550,000 and fair value at €303,174, this house is overpriced for family rental opportunities, where price sensitivity is paramount. The neighbourhood’s low score indicates a suboptimal environment for families, further dampening rental viability. Buy-and-hold Pursuing a buy-and-hold strategy on this property is not prudent, as it sits 44.9% above fair value, placing long-term appreciation potential in doubt. Limited appeal in the neighbourhood, reflected by a score of 48/100, suggests stagnation or decline in property demand over time.
Economic and Tenant Instability With both economic and tenant stability scores at 50/100, there is a significant risk of fluctuating rental income and potential high vacancy rates, affecting overall property profitability.
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