This listing includes AI condition scoring, neighbourhood intelligence, and market valuation data — giving you a complete picture before you visit. Compare rental yield, price per square metre, and location strength against the broader Portuguese market to assess whether this property fits your investment strategy.
4-bedroom, 3-bathroom house of 150 m². Located Venda do Pinheiro e Santo Estêvão das Galés parish, Mafra municipality, Lisbon district. This villa features a spacious outdoor kitchen with barbecue facilities and direct access to recreational areas, making it ideal for entertaining and outdoor gatherings.
The valuation. The asking price of €590,000 is significantly above the fair value of €360,308, resulting in an overpricing of €229,692 (38.9%). This discrepancy indicates that potential buyers may be paying a premium for the property. Buy-to-flip angle. The buy-to-flip strategy would involve renovating the property to enhance its appeal and resale value, potentially targeting a sale price that capitalizes on the high-quality finishes observed. Buy-to-let angle. With an estimated rental income of €1,475 per month, the gross yield is approximately 3%, making it suitable for long-term family rentals in a suburban area with access to Lisbon's amenities.
Fair value modelled at €360,308 from the area baseline, adjusted for condition and location. Asking €590,000 sits €229,692 (38.9%) above — overpriced versus fair value.
Asking €590,000 versus the Venda do Pinheiro e Santo Estêvão das Galés, Mafra, Lisbon area baseline of €321,900 (€2,146/m²) for a median-condition unit of this size — the gap before quality adjustments.
AI Condition Index 80/100 (Condition 77 · Materials 83 · Room dimensions 80). Above-median finish quality lifts fair value versus a baseline unit needing CapEx.
Neighbourhood score 70/100 (Housing Market 70 · Amenities 65 · Economic 75 · Tenant Quality 70). Strong amenities and housing-market momentum support a premium to baseline.
Venda do Pinheiro e Santo Estêvão das Galés, Mafra, Lisbon
Area baseline €321,900 + condition +€12,656 + location +€25,752 = modelled fair value of €360,308 (€2,402/m²), a €229,692 (38.9%) gap versus the €590,000 asking price.
| Reference | Status | Price | €/m² | vs subject | Condition | Location |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Venda do Pinheiro e Santo Estêvão das Galés · 8936c5 | Subject | €590,000 | €3,933 | — | 77 | 70 |
| Venda do Pinheiro e Santo Estêvão das Galés · 6fba8b | Active | €575,000 | €3,594 | 8.6% | 74 | 61 |
| Milharado · f36622 | Active | €1,280,000 | €3,975 | 1.1% | 82 | 70 |
| Venda do Pinheiro e Santo Estêvão das Galés · 8936b2 | Active | €1,100,000 | €5,500 | 39.8% | 75 | 71 |
| Malveira e São Miguel de Alcainça · 032478 | Active | €885,000 | €2,507 | 36.3% | 70 | 60 |
| Median comp | €992,500 | €3,785 | 3.8% | 75 | 66 |
Family rental The 4-bed house in Venda do Pinheiro e Santo Estêvão das Galés, priced at €590,000, presents a gap of 38.9% compared to its fair value of €360,308, indicating that the property is overpriced. Additionally, with a gross yield of only 3%, the property is not an attractive option for families seeking rental opportunities in this suburban area. Long-term rental Given its high asking price of €590,000 against a fair value of €360,308, the investment potential in this property is significantly compromised, marking it as overpriced at a 38.9% premium. The relatively low gross yield of 3% further emphasizes the risk involved in pursuing a long-term rental strategy in this location. Buy-and-hold Investors considering a buy-and-hold strategy for the €590,000 listing in Venda do Pinheiro e Santo Estêvão das Galés must reckon with its significant overpricing at a 38.9% gap from the fair value of €360,308. With an uninspiring yield of 3%, the long-term appreciation prospects do not outweigh the drawbacks of this investment in the current market context.
Tenant turnover risk The tenant stability score of 70/100 suggests a moderate risk of tenant turnover, which could impact rental income and overall investment returns due to potential vacancy periods.
