This listing includes AI condition scoring, neighbourhood intelligence, and market valuation data — giving you a complete picture before you visit. Compare rental yield, price per square metre, and location strength against the broader Portuguese market to assess whether this property fits your investment strategy.
4-bedroom, 0-bathroom duplex of 352 m². Located Santo António parish, Lisbon municipality, Lisbon district. Noteworthy Features: This duplex features a private garden of 83 m² with unobstructed views and a landscaped interior patio that seamlessly integrates nature within the urban setting.
The valuation. The asking price of €5,250,000 is significantly above the fair value of €2,757,194, resulting in a staggering overvaluation of €2,492,806 (47.5%). This property is not a deal based on current market assessments.
Fair value modelled at €2,757,194 from the area baseline, adjusted for condition and location. Asking €5,250,000 sits €2,492,806 (47.5%) above — overpriced versus fair value.
Asking €5,250,000 versus the Santo António, Lisbon, Lisbon area baseline of €2,489,696 (€7,073/m²) for a median-condition unit of this size — the gap before quality adjustments.
AI Condition Index 82/100 (Condition 75 · Materials 85 · Room dimensions 80). Above-median finish quality lifts fair value versus a baseline unit needing CapEx.
Neighbourhood score 86/100 (Housing Market 90 · Amenities 90 · Economic 90 · Tenant Quality 70). Strong amenities and housing-market momentum support a premium to baseline.
Santo António, Lisbon, Lisbon
Area baseline €2,489,696 + condition +€39,050 + location +€342,144 = modelled fair value of €2,757,194 (€7,833/m²), a €2,492,806 (47.5%) gap versus the €5,250,000 asking price.
| Reference | Status | Price | €/m² | vs subject | Condition | Location |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santo António · de0c30 | Subject | €5,250,000 | €14,915 | — | 75 | 86 |
| Avenidas Novas · 49b897 | Active | €718,000 | €6,527 | 56.2% | 78 | 81 |
| Arroios · 1e62fe | Active | €1,030,000 | €8,583 | 42.5% | 78 | 83 |
| Penha de França · 99f107 | Active | €378,500 | €5,047 | 66.2% | 75 | 86 |
| estrada de Chelas | Active | €397,000 | €4,511 | 69.8% | 78 | 83 |
| Median comp | €557,500 | €5,787 | 61.2% | 78 | 83 |
Long-term rental\nThe property is overpriced at €5,250,000, which significantly exceeds the fair value of €2,757,194, creating a 47.5% gap. With a low yield of 1.4%, the investment is unlikely to generate sufficient returns for long-term rental viability in the current market.\n\nBuy-and-hold\nThe property’s listing price of €5,250,000, well above its fair value of €2,757,194, indicates a 47.5% premium that undermines potential long-term capital appreciation. Given the low yield of 1.4%, the acquisition does not present a compelling case for long-term investment in this strategy.\n\nShort-term vacation rental\nAt a listing price of €5,250,000, the property's value is 47.5% higher than its fair value of €2,757,194, which raises concerns about the return on investment for a short-term rental strategy. The gross yield of 1.4% does not justify the high entry cost, making it a less appealing option for this use.
Tenant turnover risk High tenant turnover due to a tenant stability score of 70/100 may lead to increased vacancy rates and higher costs associated with re-leasing the property.
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Comparables, condition and location workings, yield and time-to-sell. Written up and emailed to you.
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