This listing includes AI condition scoring, neighbourhood intelligence, and market valuation data — giving you a complete picture before you visit. Compare rental yield, price per square metre, and location strength against the broader Portuguese market to assess whether this property fits your investment strategy.
2-bedroom, 1-bathroom house of 149 m², built in 1975. Located Ericeira parish, Mafra municipality, Lisbon district. Noteworthy Features: The property encompasses 3,413 m², enabling potential for mixed-use development and independency of buildings through subdivision, enhancing investment opportunities.
The valuation. The asking price of €1,000,000 is significantly above the fair value of €219,638, resulting in an excessive markup of €780,362 (78.0%). Verdict: overpriced. Buy-to-flip angle. The buy-to-flip strategy would likely involve refurbishing the property to modernize the outdated kitchen and fixtures, aiming to resell for a profit after the necessary upgrades. Buy-to-let angle. With a gross yield of 2.2%, the estimated rental income of €1,833 per month indicates moderate cash flow, making it suitable for family rentals in the suburban/rural area.
Fair value modelled at €219,638 from the area baseline, adjusted for condition and location. Asking €1,000,000 sits €780,362 (78.0%) above — overpriced versus fair value.
Asking €1,000,000 versus the Ericeira, Mafra, Lisbon area baseline of €618,797 (€4,153/m²) for a median-condition unit of this size — the gap before quality adjustments.
AI Condition Index 39/100 (Condition 33 · Materials 40 · Room dimensions 48). Below-median condition lowers fair value versus a renovated baseline unit.
Neighbourhood score 58/100 (Housing Market 60 · Amenities 55 · Economic 50 · Tenant Quality 60). Strong amenities and housing-market momentum support a premium to baseline.
Ericeira, Mafra, Lisbon
Area baseline €618,797 + condition -€84,977 + location +€9,445 = modelled fair value of €219,638 (€1,474/m²), a €780,362 (78.0%) gap versus the €1,000,000 asking price.
| Reference | Status | Price | €/m² | vs subject | Condition | Location |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ericeira · 4a81c2 | Subject | €1,000,000 | €6,711 | — | 33 | 58 |
| Ericeira · 9374c1 | Active | €350,000 | €3,933 | 41.4% | 54 | 57 |
| estrada de Montesouros, 4A | Active | €470,000 | €3,983 | 40.7% | — | 53 |
| urbanização Moinhos do Mar, 129 | Active | €630,000 | €5,727 | 14.7% | 62 | 56 |
| urbanização Moinhos do Mar | Active | €460,000 | €3,932 | 41.4% | 60 | 55 |
| Median comp | €465,000 | €3,958 | 41.0% | 60 | 56 |
Long-term rental The property, listed at €1,000,000, is significantly overpriced with a fair value of just €219,638, indicating a substantial gap of 78.0%. At a gross yield of only 2.2% and with a condition rating of 39/100, this investment is unlikely to attract long-term tenants seeking quality housing. Family rental With a fair value of €219,638 and an overpriced listing at €1,000,000, the property poses a significant hurdle for family rentals in an area where neighborhood amenities and education rates do not support such a premium price. The low condition score of 39/100 further diminishes its appeal to families seeking comfortable and safe living environments.
Economic Volatility The economic stability score of 50/100 indicates significant risk due to potential economic fluctuations that could impact tenant retention and property value.
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