This listing includes AI condition scoring, neighbourhood intelligence, and market valuation data — giving you a complete picture before you visit. Compare rental yield, price per square metre, and location strength against the broader Portuguese market to assess whether this property fits your investment strategy.
3-bedroom, 3-bathroom apartment of 210 m², built in 1996, energy rating B. Located on alameda da Guia, 190, Cascais e Estoril parish, Cascais municipality, Lisbon district. This apartment boasts 40 square meters of balconies equipped with luxury outdoor furnishings, ideal for both relaxation and entertaining, enhancing the vibrant coastal lifestyle in Cascais.
The valuation. The asking price of €1,390,000 exceeds the fair value of €1,137,964 by €252,036 (18.1%). This property is therefore considered overpriced.
Fair value modelled at €1,137,964 from the area baseline, adjusted for condition and location. Asking €1,390,000 sits €252,036 (18.1%) above — overpriced versus fair value.
Asking €1,390,000 versus the alameda da Guia, 190 area baseline of €1,039,290 (€4,949/m²) for a median-condition unit of this size — the gap before quality adjustments.
AI Condition Index 81/100 (Condition 78 · Materials 84 · Room dimensions 78). Above-median finish quality lifts fair value versus a baseline unit needing CapEx.
Neighbourhood score 69/100 (Housing Market 70 · Amenities 65 · Economic 70 · Tenant Quality 70). Strong amenities and housing-market momentum support a premium to baseline.
alameda da Guia, 190
Area baseline €1,039,290 + condition +€19,688 + location +€78,986 = modelled fair value of €1,137,964 (€5,419/m²), a €252,036 (18.1%) gap versus the €1,390,000 asking price.
| Reference | Status | Price | €/m² | vs subject | Condition | Location |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| alameda da Guia, 190 | Subject | €1,390,000 | €6,619 | — | 78 | 69 |
| rua do Sorraia | Active | €780,000 | €6,783 | 2.5% | 78 | 58 |
| rua da Bela Vista | Active | €1,950,000 | €7,414 | 12.0% | 85 | 68 |
| rua Diogo Cão, 78 | Active | €700,000 | €5,833 | 11.9% | 74 | 73 |
| Cascais e Estoril · 937385 | Active | €2,700,000 | €5,882 | 11.1% | 88 | 64 |
| Median comp | €1,365,000 | €6,333 | 4.3% | 82 | 66 |
Long-term rental The property in Cascais e Estoril is currently overpriced by 18.1% compared to its fair value of €1,137,964, resulting in a gross yield of only 2.7%. Given the conservative family-oriented area with stable demographics, the high acquisition cost makes it a less appealing option for long-term rental investment. Family rental The gross yield of 2.7% derived from the €1,390,000 listing price is insufficient, especially considering the property is 18.1% above its fair value. Although the neighborhood is family-oriented, the high entry price may deter potential tenant interest, affecting income stability for family rentals. Buy-and-hold With a current listing price of €1,390,000, which exceeds fair value by 18.1%, the buy-and-hold strategy for this property appears unattractive given the low yield of 2.7%. The neighborhood's stable demographics do provide long-term potential, but the initial investment risk is elevated due to the overpricing of the property.
Economic-Tenant Instability Risk Given both the economic and tenant stability scores of 70/100, there is a risk of lower demand for the property if economic conditions worsen or tenant turnover increases.
