This listing includes AI condition scoring, neighbourhood intelligence, and market valuation data — giving you a complete picture before you visit. Compare rental yield, price per square metre, and location strength against the broader Portuguese market to assess whether this property fits your investment strategy.
1-bedroom, 1-bathroom apartment of 42 m², energy rating D. Located on rua Ilha da Madeira, 27, Póvoa de Santo Adrião e Olival Basto parish, Odivelas municipality, Lisbon district. This apartment features a renovated storage room with a window, providing additional versatile space ideal for a home office or extra storage.
The valuation. The asking price of €262,500 is significantly above the fair value of €137,112, indicating an overvaluation of €125,388 (47.8%). This price does not reflect a competitive market valuation. Buy-to-flip angle. Given the high asking price, a buy-to-flip strategy would be challenging in this market, as resale at a profitable margin would require substantial renovations and a strong demand for appreciation. Buy-to-let angle. With an estimated gross rental yield of 3.4% (~€744/month), this property offers a modest return on investment, primarily suited for long-term family rentals in a suburb of Lisbon with adequate local amenities.
Fair value modelled at €137,112 from the area baseline, adjusted for condition and location. Asking €262,500 sits €125,388 (47.8%) above — overpriced versus fair value.
Asking €262,500 versus the rua Ilha da Madeira, 27 area baseline of €154,182 (€3,671/m²) for a median-condition unit of this size — the gap before quality adjustments.
AI Condition Index 78/100 (Condition 75 · Materials 80 · Room dimensions 78). Above-median finish quality lifts fair value versus a baseline unit needing CapEx.
Neighbourhood score 78/100 (Housing Market 80 · Amenities 80 · Economic 80 · Tenant Quality 70). Strong amenities and housing-market momentum support a premium to baseline.
rua Ilha da Madeira, 27
Area baseline €154,182 + condition +€2,231 + location +€13,585 = modelled fair value of €137,112 (€3,265/m²), a €125,388 (47.8%) gap versus the €262,500 asking price.
| Reference | Status | Price | €/m² | vs subject | Condition | Location |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| rua Ilha da Madeira, 27 | Subject | €262,500 | €6,250 | — | 75 | 78 |
| Santo António dos Cavaleiros e Frielas · ac99a2 | Active | €260,000 | €3,881 | 37.9% | 73 | 73 |
| Santa Clara · dee657 | Active | €350,000 | €5,833 | 6.7% | 70 | 76 |
| rua Manuel António Gomes, 1 | Active | €274,000 | €4,349 | 30.4% | 80 | 72 |
| Odivelas · ba3eb4 | Active | €320,000 | €5,926 | 5.2% | 85 | 75 |
| Median comp | €297,000 | €5,091 | 18.5% | 77 | 74 |
Long-term rental The current listing price of €262,500 is significantly above the fair value of €137,112, indicating that the property is overpriced by 47.8%. With a gross yield of only 3.4%, this property presents insufficient returns for a long-term rental strategy. Buy-and-hold At €262,500, this property is grossly overpriced compared to its fair value of €137,112, creating a 47.8% gap that diminishes potential appreciation prospects. The modest gross yield of 3.4% further suggests that long-term ownership would not yield favorable returns. Family rental With a listing price of €262,500, the property has a significant disparity from its fair value of €137,112, effectively making it overpriced by 47.8%. The current gross yield of 3.4% indicates that it may not be an attractive option for families seeking rental value in a suburban market. Short-term vacation rental Given its current overpriced status at €262,500 against a fair value of €137,112, the property is unlikely to deliver the high returns typically sought in short-term rentals. Furthermore, the yield of 3.4% does not align with short-term rental profitability expectations. Student housing At a listing price of €262,500, the property is overpriced by 47.8% compared to the fair value of €137,112, making it financially unviable for student housing opportunities. The 3.4% yield does not support the competitive pricing typically required for attracting students in the rental market.
Tenant turnover risk With a tenant stability score of 70/100, there is a moderate risk of increased turnover leading to potential vacancy costs and decreased rental income.
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Comparables, condition and location workings, yield and time-to-sell. Written up and emailed to you.
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