This listing includes AI condition scoring, neighbourhood intelligence, and market valuation data — giving you a complete picture before you visit. Compare rental yield, price per square metre, and location strength against the broader Portuguese market to assess whether this property fits your investment strategy.
3-bedroom, 4-bathroom apartment of 205 m², energy rating B. Located on avenida Lago, Cascais e Estoril parish, Cascais municipality, Lisbon district. This property features a substantial 47m² terrace ideal for outdoor dining and lounging, integrated with a spacious living room equipped with a cozy fireplace.
The valuation. The asking price of €2,200,000 sits significantly above fair value at €1,128,489, indicating an unreasonable premium of €1,071,511 (48.7%). This property is therefore priced as overpriced. Buy-to-flip angle. A quick resale strategy could be effective; however, with a substantial markup, an investor might struggle to achieve a profitable flip in the current market. Profitability would rely heavily on finding a buyer willing to pay the >€2.2 million. Buy-to-let angle. The estimated gross yield of 1.7% translates to approximately €3,117/month in rental income. Given the property's high quality and suburban appeal, it could attract family rentals despite the low yield, aligning with long-term investment strategies.
Fair value modelled at €1,128,489 from the area baseline, adjusted for condition and location. Asking €2,200,000 sits €1,071,511 (48.7%) above — overpriced versus fair value.
Asking €2,200,000 versus the avenida Lago area baseline of €979,285 (€4,777/m²) for a median-condition unit of this size — the gap before quality adjustments.
AI Condition Index 83/100 (Condition 80 · Materials 85 · Room dimensions 80). Above-median finish quality lifts fair value versus a baseline unit needing CapEx.
Neighbourhood score 72/100 (Housing Market 78 · Amenities 70 · Economic 75 · Tenant Quality 65). Strong amenities and housing-market momentum support a premium to baseline.
avenida Lago
Area baseline €979,285 + condition +€24,664 + location +€89,280 = modelled fair value of €1,128,489 (€5,505/m²), a €1,071,511 (48.7%) gap versus the €2,200,000 asking price.
| Reference | Status | Price | €/m² | vs subject | Condition | Location |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| avenida Lago | Subject | €2,200,000 | €10,732 | — | 80 | 72 |
| Cascais e Estoril · 956f49 | Active | €1,550,000 | €12,500 | 16.5% | 78 | 64 |
| rua da Bela Vista | Active | €1,950,000 | €7,414 | 30.9% | 85 | 68 |
| Cascais e Estoril · 82c83f | Active | €1,950,000 | €11,207 | 4.4% | 80 | 67 |
| rua Professor Doutor Manuel Eugénio Machado Macedo, 251 | Active | €795,000 | €6,570 | 38.8% | 76 | 76 |
| Median comp | €1,750,000 | €9,311 | 13.2% | 79 | 68 |
Long-term rental The property presents a gross yield of only 1.7%, which is insufficient to attract long-term renters seeking good return prospects. Coupled with a significant gap of 48.7% compared to its fair value, this asset is overpriced for the long-term rental strategy. Family rental With its sizable area of 205m², the apartment could initially appeal to families; however, the fair value being €1,128,489 indicates the property is overpriced by 48.7%. This excessive pricing may deter family renters looking for affordable options in a suburban Lisbon environment. Buy-and-hold The asset's condition score of 83/100 and a neighbourhood rating of 72/100 suggest a stable property; however, the overvaluation of 48.7% compared to fair market value makes it a high-risk buy-and-hold investment. Investors seeking long-term capital appreciation should be cautious due to the significant premium on this property. Not ideal for luxury market Despite the attractive features, the 1.7% yield and overpricing render it unsuitable for luxury buyers seeking value in their investments. Not ideal for short-term vacation rental The high purchase price compared to fair market value makes it difficult to generate competitive returns in the short-term rental market. Not ideal for student housing With a significant gap from fair value, this property is not positioned competitively for the student housing market, which requires more affordable pricing.
Tenant turnover risk The tenant stability score of 65/100 indicates a potential for higher tenant turnover, which may lead to increased vacancy rates and associated costs.
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Comparables, condition and location workings, yield and time-to-sell. Written up and emailed to you.
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