This listing includes AI condition scoring, neighbourhood intelligence, and market valuation data — giving you a complete picture before you visit. Compare rental yield, price per square metre, and location strength against the broader Portuguese market to assess whether this property fits your investment strategy.
5-bedroom, 4-bathroom house of 289 m², energy rating C. Located on rua Campânulas, Cascais e Estoril parish, Cascais municipality, Lisbon district. The property features expansive outdoor spaces including a heated pool and barbecue area, perfect for entertaining, alongside modern amenities like underfloor heating and solar panels for sustainability.
The valuation. The asking price of €2,900,000 is significantly above its fair value of €1,580,057, representing an excess of €1,319,943 or 45.5%. This property is considered overpriced.
Fair value modelled at €1,580,057 from the area baseline, adjusted for condition and location. Asking €2,900,000 sits €1,319,943 (45.5%) above — overpriced versus fair value.
Asking €2,900,000 versus the rua Campânulas area baseline of €1,380,553 (€4,777/m²) for a median-condition unit of this size — the gap before quality adjustments.
AI Condition Index 80/100 (Condition 78 · Materials 82 · Room dimensions 79). Above-median finish quality lifts fair value versus a baseline unit needing CapEx.
Neighbourhood score 72/100 (Housing Market 70 · Amenities 70 · Economic 75 · Tenant Quality 75). Strong amenities and housing-market momentum support a premium to baseline.
rua Campânulas
Area baseline €1,380,553 + condition +€23,933 + location +€125,863 = modelled fair value of €1,580,057 (€5,467/m²), a €1,319,943 (45.5%) gap versus the €2,900,000 asking price.
| Reference | Status | Price | €/m² | vs subject | Condition | Location |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| rua Campânulas | Subject | €2,900,000 | €10,035 | — | 78 | 72 |
| rua do Cabo | Active | €6,100,000 | €15,522 | 54.7% | 72 | 68 |
| rua do Farol | Active | €1,190,000 | €5,640 | 43.8% | 78 | 72 |
| Cascais e Estoril · 4a8064 | Active | €2,890,000 | €9,031 | 10.0% | 75 | 70 |
| Cascais e Estoril · 49b7ec | Active | €2,490,000 | €7,523 | 25.0% | 81 | 73 |
| Median comp | €2,690,000 | €8,277 | 17.5% | 77 | 71 |
Long-term rental The 5-bed house in Cascais is overpriced at €2,900,000 compared to its fair value of €1,580,057, representing a significant gap of 45.5%. With a low gross yield of 2.2% and an average neighbourhood rating of 72/100, this strategy presents more risk than reward. Buy-and-hold Given the current listing price, this property is not a sound investment for a buy-and-hold strategy as it is overpriced by 45.5%, with a fair value of just €1,580,057. The moderate condition rating of 80/100 further suggests that potential appreciation is unlikely to offset the high initial cost. Family rental The property in Cascais is marketed above its fair value at €2,900,000, making it a less attractive option for family rental despite its positive attributes. With a gross yield of only 2.2% and within a family-oriented neighbourhood, the investment lacks adequate financial viability at this price point.
Potential vacancy risk: With both economic stability and tenant stability scores at 75/100, there is a moderate risk of vacancies impacting rental income due to potential economic fluctuations or tenant turnover.
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Comparables, condition and location workings, yield and time-to-sell. Written up and emailed to you.
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