This listing includes AI condition scoring, neighbourhood intelligence, and market valuation data — giving you a complete picture before you visit. Compare rental yield, price per square metre, and location strength against the broader Portuguese market to assess whether this property fits your investment strategy.
4-bedroom, 4-bathroom villa of 154 m², energy rating A. Located on estrada nacional 253, Carvalhal parish, Grândola municipality, Setúbal district. The property offers direct access to a private pool area surrounded by a beautifully designed wooden deck, enhancing outdoor entertaining options amidst native vegetation.
The valuation. The asking price of €1,150,000 is significantly above fair value, which is €261,846, indicating an overvaluation of €888,154 (77.2%). This property is considered overpriced in the current market conditions.
Fair value modelled at €261,846 from the area baseline, adjusted for condition and location. Asking €1,150,000 sits €888,154 (77.2%) above — overpriced versus fair value.
Asking €1,150,000 versus the estrada nacional 253 area baseline of €518,518 (€3,367/m²) for a median-condition unit of this size — the gap before quality adjustments.
AI Condition Index 85/100 (Condition 80 · Materials 90 · Room dimensions 85). Above-median finish quality lifts fair value versus a baseline unit needing CapEx.
Neighbourhood score 48/100 (Housing Market 40 · Amenities 50 · Economic 35 · Tenant Quality 60). Softer demand indicators apply a discount to baseline.
estrada nacional 253
Area baseline €518,518 + condition +€19,250 + location -€1,956 = modelled fair value of €261,846 (€1,700/m²), a €888,154 (77.2%) gap versus the €1,150,000 asking price.
| Reference | Status | Price | €/m² | vs subject | Condition | Location |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| estrada nacional 253 | Subject | €1,150,000 | €7,468 | — | 80 | 48 |
| estrada nacional 253, 1 | Active | €495,000 | €3,300 | 55.8% | 78 | 48 |
| estrada Sem Nome | Active | €4,500,000 | €15,845 | 112.2% | 85 | 56 |
| Carvalhal · 28b894 | Active | €1,480,000 | €12,437 | 66.5% | 78 | 47 |
| estrada Nacional, 253, 1 | Active | €750,000 | €10,274 | 37.6% | 75 | 59 |
| Median comp | €1,115,000 | €11,356 | 52.1% | 78 | 52 |
Long-term rental The 4-bed villa in Carvalhal, Grândola is significantly overpriced at €1,150,000, with a fair value of only €261,846, indicating a 77.2% gap. This high price combined with a 0% gross yield makes it an unfeasible long-term rental investment given the limited housing demand in the rural area. Family rental With a fair value far below the asking price, the villa's potential as a family rental is compromised, especially considering the rural location's impact on tenant quality and limited amenities. Additionally, the lack of growth in housing demand raises concerns that families would find better housing alternatives at more reasonable prices. Not ideal for: The property does not suit student housing due to the lack of local educational options, nor does it appeal to the luxury market given its rural setting and low neighborhood rating. Furthermore, the short-term vacation rental market is also unfavourable due to the absence of tourism-related amenities and activities in the area.
Economic Instability Risk The low economic stability score of 35/100 indicates a high risk of economic downturns that could adversely affect rent prices and tenant demand.
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