This listing includes AI condition scoring, neighbourhood intelligence, and market valuation data — giving you a complete picture before you visit. Compare rental yield, price per square metre, and location strength against the broader Portuguese market to assess whether this property fits your investment strategy.
3-bedroom, 2-bathroom apartment of 87 m², built in 1985, energy rating C. Located Póvoa de Santa Iria e Forte da Casa parish, Vila Franca de Xira municipality, Lisbon district. Noteworthy Features: The property features elegant sliding doors that offer flexibility between open and private spaces and offers a scenic river view from the en-suite bedroom.
The valuation. The asking price of €359,000 is significantly above the fair value of €209,251, representing an overpricing of €149,749 (41.7%). This property is not positioned as a viable investment opportunity. Buy-to-flip angle. A buy-and-flip strategy may yield limited returns given the property’s valuation and current market trends, making quick resale challenging. Targeting improvements could enhance selling potential but may not justify the current price. Buy-to-let angle. With a gross yield of 3.7%, generating an estimated monthly rental income of €1,107, this apartment could serve as a long-term rental investment. However, the lower yield in comparison to general market standards indicates less attractiveness for buy-to-let prospects.
Fair value modelled at €209,251 from the area baseline, adjusted for condition and location. Asking €359,000 sits €149,749 (41.7%) above — overpriced versus fair value.
Asking €359,000 versus the Póvoa de Santa Iria e Forte da Casa, Vila Franca de Xira, Lisbon area baseline of €256,215 (€2,945/m²) for a median-condition unit of this size — the gap before quality adjustments.
AI Condition Index 81/100 (Condition 77 · Materials 84 · Room dimensions 80). Above-median finish quality lifts fair value versus a baseline unit needing CapEx.
Neighbourhood score 70/100 (Housing Market 75 · Amenities 65 · Economic 70 · Tenant Quality 70). Strong amenities and housing-market momentum support a premium to baseline.
Póvoa de Santa Iria e Forte da Casa, Vila Franca de Xira, Lisbon
Area baseline €256,215 + condition +€7,612 + location +€14,936 = modelled fair value of €209,251 (€2,405/m²), a €149,749 (41.7%) gap versus the €359,000 asking price.
| Reference | Status | Price | €/m² | vs subject | Condition | Location |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Póvoa de Santa Iria e Forte da Casa · b7c06e | Subject | €359,000 | €4,126 | — | 77 | 70 |
| Póvoa de Santa Iria e Forte da Casa · ba3f20 | Active | €349,900 | €3,534 | 14.3% | 80 | 75 |
| rua António Gonçalves Correia, 2 | Active | €590,000 | €4,275 | 3.6% | 78 | 71 |
| Santa Iria de Azóia, São João da Talha e Bobadela · 4d41b8 | Active | €420,000 | €3,652 | 11.5% | 76 | 75 |
| Póvoa de Santa Iria e Forte da Casa · 99f3b1 | Active | €419,800 | €4,240 | 2.8% | 76 | 74 |
| Median comp | €419,900 | €3,946 | 4.4% | 77 | 75 |
Long-term rental This property offers a 3.7% gross yield, but considering its overpriced status at €359,000 compared to a fair value of €209,251, long-term rental returns will likely be constrained. Additionally, while the condition rates at 81/100, the neighborhood rating of 70/100 indicates average demand, which may impact overall rental performance. Family rental The family-oriented nature of the locale could support stable occupancy rates; however, the gap from fair value suggests that the initial investment at €359,000 does not align with realistic rental market expectations. Families may appreciate the suburban connectivity to Lisbon, yet the pricing remains a barrier despite positive community aspects. Buy-and-hold Although purchasing this property for a buy-and-hold strategy seems appealing due to the spacious layout and decent condition rating, its current pricing at €359,000 demonstrates that it is significantly overpriced compared to its fair value of €209,251. The potential for appreciation in an average neighborhood does not justify the high entry cost, limiting the investment's attractiveness in the long run.
Economic and Tenant Instability Risk: With both economic and tenant stability scores at 70/100, there is a moderate risk of fluctuating occupancy rates and rental income volatility, which may lead to financial instability for the property investment.
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Comparables, condition and location workings, yield and time-to-sell. Written up and emailed to you.
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