This listing includes AI condition scoring, neighbourhood intelligence, and market valuation data — giving you a complete picture before you visit. Compare rental yield, price per square metre, and location strength against the broader Portuguese market to assess whether this property fits your investment strategy.
2-bedroom, 1-bathroom apartment of 84 m², built in 2024, energy rating D. Located on rua Manuel de Arriaga, Quinta do Conde parish, Sesimbra municipality, Setúbal district. Balcony with a Fireplace: Enjoy a relaxing outdoor space complemented by a cozy fireplace, perfect for entertaining or unwinding while enjoying Quinta do Conde's pleasant climate.
The valuation. The asking price of €264,000 is significantly above the fair value of €125,725, a difference of €138,275, or 52.4%. The property is clearly overpriced. Buy-to-flip angle. A wholesale strategy would entail renovating the apartment to enhance its features, with the aim of quickly reselling it for a profit in the improving market. Buy-to-let angle. With an estimated gross yield of 3.4%, generating approximately €748 per month makes this property a suitable option for long-term family rentals, especially considering its suburban location near Lisbon.
Fair value modelled at €125,725 from the area baseline, adjusted for condition and location. Asking €264,000 sits €138,275 (52.4%) above — overpriced versus fair value.
Asking €264,000 versus the rua Manuel de Arriaga area baseline of €256,368 (€3,052/m²) for a median-condition unit of this size — the gap before quality adjustments.
AI Condition Index 66/100 (Condition 68 · Materials 62 · Room dimensions 67). Below-median condition lowers fair value versus a renovated baseline unit.
Neighbourhood score 59/100 (Housing Market 60 · Amenities 60 · Economic 55 · Tenant Quality 55). Strong amenities and housing-market momentum support a premium to baseline.
rua Manuel de Arriaga
Area baseline €256,368 + condition -€12,469 + location +€4,802 = modelled fair value of €125,725 (€1,497/m²), a €138,275 (52.4%) gap versus the €264,000 asking price.
| Reference | Status | Price | €/m² | vs subject | Condition | Location |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| rua Manuel de Arriaga | Subject | €264,000 | €3,143 | — | 68 | 59 |
| Quinta do Conde · 9387b1 | Active | €265,000 | €4,417 | 40.5% | 70 | 68 |
| Quinta do Conde · 6fbdf7 | Active | €280,000 | €4,000 | 27.3% | 60 | 65 |
| rua Manuel de Arriaga | Active | €269,000 | €2,956 | 5.9% | 70 | 69 |
| rua Manuel de Arriaga | Active | €279,000 | €3,770 | 20.0% | 75 | 67 |
| Median comp | €274,000 | €3,885 | 23.6% | 70 | 68 |
Long-term rental The 2-bed apartment in Quinta do Conde is currently overpriced at €264,000 compared to its fair value of €125,725, representing a significant gap of 52.4%. With a gross yield of only 3.4% and a neighborhood rating of 59/100, this investment lacks compelling economic fundamentals to attract reliable long-term tenants. Family rental This property, while located in a suburban area with some access to Lisbon-related employment, is overpriced at €264,000, which is 52.4% above its fair value of €125,725. Given its condition rating of 66/100 and the family-friendly amenities in the vicinity, the high entry price may deter families seeking quality housing options. Buy-and-hold Investing in the 2-bed apartment for a buy-and-hold strategy becomes less attractive due to its current listing price of €264,000, which is 52.4% above the fair value of €125,725. The combination of a low yield of 3.4% and a mediocre neighborhood rating of 59/100 suggests that long-term capital appreciation may not justify the investment at this price point.
Economic and Tenant Instability With economic and tenant stability scores both at 55/100, there is a significant risk of fluctuating rental income and potential vacancy periods affecting the property's profitability.
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Comparables, condition and location workings, yield and time-to-sell. Written up and emailed to you.
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