This listing includes AI condition scoring, neighbourhood intelligence, and market valuation data — giving you a complete picture before you visit. Compare rental yield, price per square metre, and location strength against the broader Portuguese market to assess whether this property fits your investment strategy.
2-bedroom, 1-bathroom apartment of 65 m² on the 2nd floor, built in 2005. Located Mafra parish, Mafra municipality, Lisbon district. Noteworthy Features: The apartment boasts proximity to the historic Convent of Mafra, providing a culturally rich environment, along with a spacious 23 m² storage room that enhances practicality.
The valuation. The asking price of €420,000 is significantly higher than the fair value of €124,296, resulting in an overpricing of €295,704 or 70.4%. This suggests that potential investors should approach with caution. Buy-to-flip angle. The buy-to-flip strategy for this property may not be viable due to its overvaluation, which limits the potential profit margins for resale or wholesale. A significant reduction in purchase price would be necessary to make flipping attractive. Buy-to-let angle. The estimated gross yield of 2.4% based on a monthly rental income of €840 indicates that the rental market may not provide substantial cash flow for long-term investment. The moderate distance from Lisbon could appeal to families seeking affordable housing.
Fair value modelled at €124,296 from the area baseline, adjusted for condition and location. Asking €420,000 sits €295,704 (70.4%) above — overpriced versus fair value.
Asking €420,000 versus the Mafra, Mafra, Lisbon area baseline of €209,300 (€3,220/m²) for a median-condition unit of this size — the gap before quality adjustments.
AI Condition Index 64/100 (Condition 65 · Materials 60 · Room dimensions 65). Below-median condition lowers fair value versus a renovated baseline unit.
Neighbourhood score 64/100 (Housing Market 60 · Amenities 65 · Economic 65 · Tenant Quality 65). Strong amenities and housing-market momentum support a premium to baseline.
Mafra, Mafra, Lisbon
Area baseline €209,300 + condition -€11,680 + location +€7,211 = modelled fair value of €124,296 (€1,912/m²), a €295,704 (70.4%) gap versus the €420,000 asking price.
| Reference | Status | Price | €/m² | vs subject | Condition | Location |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mafra · 6c7bff | Subject | €420,000 | €6,462 | — | 65 | 64 |
| Mafra · ba58f3 | Active | €320,000 | €4,507 | 30.2% | 75 | 68 |
| Mafra · 25f69a | Active | €415,000 | €3,843 | 40.5% | 72 | 53 |
| Mafra · 6d5591 | Active | €320,000 | €4,706 | 27.2% | 75 | 63 |
| avenida Primeiro de Maio S / N | Active | €350,000 | €3,571 | 44.7% | 70 | 58 |
| Median comp | €335,000 | €4,175 | 35.4% | 74 | 61 |
Long-term rental The property’s gross yield of 2.4% suggests that it unlikely to generate strong cash flow for long-term rental. With a fair value of €124,296, the current listing price of €420,000 indicates a substantial gap of 70.4%, reinforcing that this investment is overpriced. Family rental Given its size and moderate condition rating of 64/100, this 2-bed apartment could appeal to families seeking housing in the suburban area. However, with a significant pricing gap from fair value, the property is overpriced and may not attract families as a desirable rental option. Buy-and-hold The investment potential hinges on appreciating property values over time, but given the current pricing at €420,000 versus a fair value of €124,296, expectations must be tempered. This significant overpricing raises concerns about future returns on investment in a market that is not heavily urbanized.
Economic uncertainty risk The economic stability score of 65/100 indicates potential fluctuations in income, which may lead to difficulties in consistent tenant payments.
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Comparables, condition and location workings, yield and time-to-sell. Written up and emailed to you.
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