This listing includes AI condition scoring, neighbourhood intelligence, and market valuation data — giving you a complete picture before you visit. Compare rental yield, price per square metre, and location strength against the broader Portuguese market to assess whether this property fits your investment strategy.
3-bedroom, 2-bathroom apartment of 108 m². Located Mafra parish, Mafra municipality, Lisbon district. The apartment boasts a spacious living room with a balcony that enhances outdoor connectivity and provides excellent sun exposure throughout the day.
The valuation. The asking price of €415,000 sits €206,922 (49.9%) above the fair value of €208,078, making it overpriced in the current market conditions. This significant discrepancy suggests a lack of value for potential investors.
Fair value modelled at €208,078 from the area baseline, adjusted for condition and location. Asking €415,000 sits €206,922 (49.9%) above — overpriced versus fair value.
Asking €415,000 versus the Mafra, Mafra, Lisbon area baseline of €213,948 (€1,981/m²) for a median-condition unit of this size — the gap before quality adjustments.
AI Condition Index 70/100 (Condition 72 · Materials 68 · Room dimensions 75). Below-median condition lowers fair value versus a renovated baseline unit.
Neighbourhood score 53/100 (Housing Market 50 · Amenities 50 · Economic 55 · Tenant Quality 55). Strong amenities and housing-market momentum support a premium to baseline.
Mafra, Mafra, Lisbon
Area baseline €213,948 + condition -€8,438 + location +€2,567 = modelled fair value of €208,078 (€1,927/m²), a €206,922 (49.9%) gap versus the €415,000 asking price.
| Reference | Status | Price | €/m² | vs subject | Condition | Location |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mafra · 25f69a | Subject | €415,000 | €3,843 | — | 72 | 53 |
| avenida Primeiro de Maio S / N | Active | €350,000 | €3,571 | 7.1% | 70 | 58 |
| Mafra · 8936d1 | Active | €339,900 | €4,249 | 10.6% | 77 | 55 |
| Mafra · 6d5591 | Active | €320,000 | €4,706 | 22.5% | 75 | 63 |
| rua Luís de Camões, 12 | Active | €345,000 | €3,833 | 0.2% | 73 | 69 |
| Median comp | €342,450 | €4,041 | 5.2% | 74 | 61 |
Long-term rental This property, priced at €415,000, does not present a compelling case for long-term rental investments given its fair value of €208,078, indicating it is overpriced by 49.9%. The gross yield of 3.6% further suggests that potential returns will be limited in a mixed-demand suburban market like Mafra. Buy-and-hold Investing in this property for a buy-and-hold strategy is questionable, as the significant price gap from the fair value indicates it is overpriced at €415,000. With a condition rating of 70/100 and a low neighbourhood score of 53/100, the investment may yield disappointing results over time. Value-add renovation Acquiring this property for value-add renovation poses risks due to its current listing of €415,000, which stands well above its fair value of €208,078, marking it as overpriced. While renovations could potentially improve its condition and neighbourhood appeal, the high initial investment may not justify the potential uplift in value and rental yield.
Weak economic and tenant stability The property faces a significant risk due to its low economic stability score of 55/100 and tenant stability score of 55/100, which suggests potential volatility in rental income and occupancy rates.
