This listing includes AI condition scoring, neighbourhood intelligence, and market valuation data — giving you a complete picture before you visit. Compare rental yield, price per square metre, and location strength against the broader Portuguese market to assess whether this property fits your investment strategy.
2-bedroom, 4-bathroom house of 136 m², built in 1972, energy rating C. Located Venda do Pinheiro e Santo Estêvão das Galés parish, Mafra municipality, Lisbon district. Noteworthy Feature: The property includes a licensed water well that enhances water supply autonomy, significantly reducing associated consumption costs, while the ongoing licensing process may increase the total gross area to 255 m².
The valuation. The asking price of €449,500 exceeds the fair value of €286,307 by €163,193 (36.3%), indicating that this property is overpriced. The discrepancy suggests potential risks for investors considering a purchase at this price. Buy-to-flip angle. Given the high asking price relative to fair value, a buy-to-flip strategy is likely inadvisable, as resale may not yield a profit from current market conditions. It would require significant appreciation to justify such an investment. Buy-to-let angle. The expected gross yield of 2.3% translates to approximately €862 per month, which is comparatively low in the current market. While the location offers suburban amenities, the return on investment may not meet the expectations of many landlords.
Fair value modelled at €286,307 from the area baseline, adjusted for condition and location. Asking €449,500 sits €163,193 (36.3%) above — overpriced versus fair value.
Asking €449,500 versus the Venda do Pinheiro e Santo Estêvão das Galés, Mafra, Lisbon area baseline of €423,912 (€3,117/m²) for a median-condition unit of this size — the gap before quality adjustments.
AI Condition Index 63/100 (Condition 68 · Materials 60 · Room dimensions 65). Below-median condition lowers fair value versus a renovated baseline unit.
Neighbourhood score 68/100 (Housing Market 70 · Amenities 65 · Economic 75 · Tenant Quality 60). Strong amenities and housing-market momentum support a premium to baseline.
Venda do Pinheiro e Santo Estêvão das Galés, Mafra, Lisbon
Area baseline €423,912 + condition -€26,563 + location +€21,014 = modelled fair value of €286,307 (€2,105/m²), a €163,193 (36.3%) gap versus the €449,500 asking price.
| Reference | Status | Price | €/m² | vs subject | Condition | Location |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Venda do Pinheiro e Santo Estêvão das Galés · 911953 | Subject | €449,500 | €3,305 | — | 68 | 68 |
| avenida 9 de Julho, 37 | Active | €500,000 | €3,333 | 0.9% | — | 57 |
| rua Circuito Adriano da Silva Figueiredo, 29 | Active | €700,000 | €2,288 | 30.8% | 76 | 73 |
| Malveira e São Miguel de Alcainça · 032478 | Active | €885,000 | €2,507 | 24.1% | 70 | 60 |
| rua das Quintas, 5 | Active | €299,000 | €3,322 | 0.5% | 68 | 65 |
| Median comp | €600,000 | €2,915 | 11.8% | 70 | 63 |
Long-term rental The 2-bed house in Venda do Pinheiro e Santo Estêvão das Galés, listed at €449,500, presents an unappealing yield of just 2.3%, indicating less profitability potential for long-term rental investments. Furthermore, with a fair value assessed at €286,307, this property is overpriced by 36.3%, making it a less attractive option for landlords seeking steady income. Family rental While the suburban location offers accessibility to Lisbon and essential amenities, the high listing price of €449,500 compared to the fair value of €286,307 suggests the property is overpriced by 36.3%. With a condition rating of 63/100 and a neighborhood score of 68/100, families may find better value in similar properties at more reasonable prices. Buy-and-hold Investing in this property with a listing price of €449,500 is questionable due to its considerable gap from the fair value of €286,307, indicating it is overpriced by 36.3%. The low gross yield of 2.3% further diminishes its appeal for a buy-and-hold strategy, as it lacks the financial return typically desired by long-term investors.
Tenant turnover risk The tenant stability score of 60/100 indicates a potential for higher turnover rates, which could lead to increased vacancy costs and reduced rental income.
Contributions are public and shown with the author's name and role. Links posted by users are not endorsed by Private Markets.
Log in to continue
Please log in or create an account to access this page.
No posts yet for this property.
Comparables, condition and location workings, yield and time-to-sell. Written up and emailed to you.
Log in to buy the report or use a credit
