This listing includes AI condition scoring, neighbourhood intelligence, and market valuation data — giving you a complete picture before you visit. Compare rental yield, price per square metre, and location strength against the broader Portuguese market to assess whether this property fits your investment strategy.
4-bedroom, 5-bathroom villa of 523 m², built in 2008, energy rating C. Located on estrada da Atalaia, Lourinhã e Atalaia parish, Lourinhã municipality, Lisbon district. This villa features a unique Turkish bath and a gym area in the exquisite master suite, enhancing its luxurious wellness offerings.
The valuation. The asking price of €5,200,000 significantly exceeds the fair value of €1,213,439, creating a discrepancy of €3,986,561 (76.7%). This property is overpriced, making it a less attractive investment option.
Fair value modelled at €1,213,439 from the area baseline, adjusted for condition and location. Asking €5,200,000 sits €3,986,561 (76.7%) above — overpriced versus fair value.
Asking €5,200,000 versus the estrada da Atalaia area baseline of €1,161,583 (€2,221/m²) for a median-condition unit of this size — the gap before quality adjustments.
AI Condition Index 82/100 (Condition 80 · Materials 85 · Room dimensions 80). Above-median finish quality lifts fair value versus a baseline unit needing CapEx.
Neighbourhood score 57/100 (Housing Market 50 · Amenities 50 · Economic 45 · Tenant Quality 60). Strong amenities and housing-market momentum support a premium to baseline.
estrada da Atalaia
Area baseline €1,161,583 + condition +€59,655 + location +€31,426 = modelled fair value of €1,213,439 (€2,320/m²), a €3,986,561 (76.7%) gap versus the €5,200,000 asking price.
| Reference | Status | Price | €/m² | vs subject | Condition | Location |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| estrada da Atalaia | Subject | €5,200,000 | €9,943 | — | 80 | 57 |
| Lourinhã e Atalaia · 49b907 | Active | €900,000 | €3,797 | 61.8% | 80 | 52 |
| Lourinhã e Atalaia · 02394c | Active | €850,000 | €2,640 | 73.5% | 76 | 53 |
| Lourinhã e Atalaia · bf2989 | Active | €765,000 | €3,883 | 60.9% | 75 | 43 |
| travessa da Encosta, 31 | Active | €930,000 | €4,673 | 53.0% | 80 | 56 |
| Median comp | €875,000 | €3,840 | 61.4% | 78 | 53 |
Buy-and-hold Buying this villa for €5,200,000 represents a significant mismatch between the listing price and the fair value of €1,213,439, indicating that the property is overpriced by 76.7%. The zero yield in a rural area with limited amenities further suggests that holding this asset will not yield a satisfactory return on investment over time. Value-add renovation Investing in value-add renovations for this villa does not justify its high asking price, as the current value stands at €1,213,439, making it overpriced by 76.7%. Given the current condition rating of 82/100 and a neighbourhood score of only 57/100, the potential for meaningful appreciation through renovations seems limited relative to the initial investment. Not ideal for This property’s characteristics, including its rural setting and lack of gross yield, make it unsuitable for both student housing and luxury market strategies. Instead of targeting these demographics, investors should be cautious, given the property’s substantial overvaluation.
Economic vulnerability With an economic stability score of 45/100, there is a heightened risk that economic downturns may adversely impact rent collection and property value due to potential tenant turnover or inability to pay.
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Comparables, condition and location workings, yield and time-to-sell. Written up and emailed to you.
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