This listing includes AI condition scoring, neighbourhood intelligence, and market valuation data — giving you a complete picture before you visit. Compare rental yield, price per square metre, and location strength against the broader Portuguese market to assess whether this property fits your investment strategy.
3-bedroom, 2-bathroom apartment of 171 m² on the 3rd floor, built in 1996, energy rating D. Located on rua Ferreira de Castro, 25, Ericeira parish, Mafra municipality, Lisbon district. Noteworthy Features: This apartment features a unique south-facing balcony shared between the suite and living room, offering breathtaking views of both the Convent of Mafra and the sea.
The valuation. The asking price of €445,000 sits significantly above the fair value of €341,499, representing an overpricing of €103,501 (23.3%). Consequently, this property is not a financially sound investment based on current valuation metrics.
Fair value modelled at €341,499 from the area baseline, adjusted for condition and location. Asking €445,000 sits €103,501 (23.3%) above — overpriced versus fair value.
Asking €445,000 versus the rua Ferreira de Castro, 25 area baseline of €710,163 (€4,153/m²) for a median-condition unit of this size — the gap before quality adjustments.
AI Condition Index 74/100 (Condition 75 · Materials 80 · Room dimensions 70). Below-median condition lowers fair value versus a renovated baseline unit.
Neighbourhood score 54/100 (Housing Market 50 · Amenities 60 · Economic 50 · Tenant Quality 55). Strong amenities and housing-market momentum support a premium to baseline.
rua Ferreira de Castro, 25
Area baseline €710,163 + condition -€2,672 + location +€5,420 = modelled fair value of €341,499 (€1,997/m²), a €103,501 (23.3%) gap versus the €445,000 asking price.
| Reference | Status | Price | €/m² | vs subject | Condition | Location |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| rua Ferreira de Castro, 25 | Subject | €445,000 | €2,602 | — | 75 | 54 |
| travessa Cabo. | Active | €487,000 | €3,142 | 20.7% | 75 | 68 |
| Ericeira · 38a066 | Active | €519,000 | €3,932 | 51.1% | 78 | 46 |
| Ericeira · 73549b | Active | €366,000 | €3,050 | 17.2% | 72 | 56 |
| rua dos Três Moinhos | Active | €519,000 | €3,932 | 51.1% | 72 | 47 |
| Median comp | €503,000 | €3,537 | 35.9% | 74 | 52 |
Long-term rental The current listing price of €445,000 indicates that the property is overpriced compared to a fair value of €341,499, representing a significant 23.3% gap. With a gross yield of only 4.4%, the long-term rental return is insufficient to justify the elevated acquisition cost. Commuter housing While the apartment's proximity to Lisbon enhances its attractiveness for commuters, the €445,000 price tag is still above its fair value of €341,499, creating a 23.3% gap. This pricing affects the potential for consistent tenant demand, which may not align with the community's affordability. Buy-and-hold Investing in this property as a buy-and-hold strategy carries risks due to its listing price of €445,000, overshadowing its fair value of €341,499 by 23.3%. The inadequate gross yield of 4.4% further diminishes the long-term investment potential, making it less desirable in a buy-and-hold context.
Low Economic and Tenant Stability Risk The economic stability score of 50 and tenant stability score of 55 suggest a potential risk of reduced demand and higher turnover, which may impact rental income stability.
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