This listing includes AI condition scoring, neighbourhood intelligence, and market valuation data — giving you a complete picture before you visit. Compare rental yield, price per square metre, and location strength against the broader Portuguese market to assess whether this property fits your investment strategy.
3-bedroom, 2-bathroom house of 95 m², energy rating D. Located Carvalhal parish, Grândola municipality, Setúbal district. Noteworthy Features: This property is located within a well-maintained condominium, providing direct access to pristine beaches and recreational amenities, enhancing outdoor leisure opportunities for residents and visitors alike.
The valuation. The asking price of €580,000 sits €188,896 (48.3%) above the fair value of €391,104, indicating that the property is overpriced. This significant disparity raises concerns about the potential for a return on investment.
Fair value modelled at €391,104 from 6 comparable sales in the area. Asking €580,000 sits €188,896 (48.3%) above — overpriced versus fair value.
Asking €580,000 versus the Carvalhal, Grândola, Setúbal area baseline of €375,079 (€3,948/m²) for a median-condition unit of this size — the gap before quality adjustments.
AI Condition Index 69/100 is below the parish average, reducing fair value versus a typical-condition unit.
Recent nearby listings price above the wider parish average — a hyper-local premium distinct from the parish baseline.
Base gap of €375,079, adjusted for condition and micro-location, gives a modelled fair value of €391,104 (€4,117/m²), a €188,896 (48.3%) gap versus the €580,000 asking price.
| Reference | Status | Price | €/m² | vs subject | Condition | Location |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carvalhal · 8ee58d | Subject | €580,000 | €6,105 | — | 70 | 46 |
| rua de Alcoutim, 285 | Active | €795,000 | €4,907 | 19.6% | 65 | 47 |
| estrada Nacional, 253, 1 | Active | €350,000 | €3,097 | 49.3% | 78 | 53 |
| Carvalhal · cfe24a | Active | €540,000 | €4,500 | 26.3% | 66 | 57 |
| urbanização Soltroia | Active | €895,000 | €7,716 | 26.4% | 84 | 51 |
| Median comp | €667,500 | €4,704 | 23.0% | 72 | 52 |
Long-term rental The property is overpriced with a significant gap of 48.3% compared to its fair value, indicating that potential long-term rental returns are unattractive due to a gross yield of 0%. Additionally, the low neighborhood rating of 46/100 suggests limited demand from quality tenants, making it a risky investment for stable rental income. Buy-and-hold Given its fair value of €391,104 and current listing price of €580,000, this property appears overpriced, limiting its appeal for a buy-and-hold strategy as appreciation potential is diminished. Furthermore, with a condition score of 69/100, any potential for value appreciation will likely be offset by high holding costs in a rural setting.
High vacancy risk With an Economic stability score of 35/100 and a Tenant stability score of 50/100, there is a significant risk of increased vacancy rates potentially impacting rental income.
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