This listing includes AI condition scoring, neighbourhood intelligence, and market valuation data — giving you a complete picture before you visit. Compare rental yield, price per square metre, and location strength against the broader Portuguese market to assess whether this property fits your investment strategy.
4-bedroom, 5-bathroom villa of 420 m², built in 2020. Located Cascais e Estoril parish, Cascais municipality, Lisbon district. Noteworthy Features: The villa includes a cinema room in the lower level, providing an entertainment space, and a jacuzzi within the landscaped garden, enhancing outdoor leisure options.
The valuation. The asking price of €3,300,000 is significantly above the fair value of €2,828,644, resulting in an overvaluation of €471,356 (16.7%). Such a disparity indicates that the property is overpriced. Buy-to-flip angle. A buy-to-flip strategy would rely on renovating the villa with its high-quality materials and finishes to attract buyers in the upscale Cascais market, potentially increasing resale value. Buy-to-let angle. For a rental strategy, estimated rental income of €3,575/month yields a gross yield of only 1.3%, suggesting limited financial benefits for long-term investments in this property.
Fair value modelled at €2,828,644 from 6 comparable sales in the area. Asking €3,300,000 sits €471,356 (16.7%) above — overpriced versus fair value.
Asking €3,300,000 versus the Cascais e Estoril, Cascais, Lisbon area baseline of €2,169,775 (€5,166/m²) for a median-condition unit of this size — the gap before quality adjustments.
AI Condition Index 89/100 is above the parish average, lifting fair value versus a typical-condition unit.
Recent nearby listings price above the wider parish average — a hyper-local premium distinct from the parish baseline.
Base gap of €2,169,775, adjusted for condition and micro-location, gives a modelled fair value of €2,828,644 (€6,735/m²), a €471,356 (16.7%) gap versus the €3,300,000 asking price.
| Reference | Status | Price | €/m² | vs subject | Condition | Location |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cascais e Estoril · 8ee7e4 | Subject | €3,300,000 | €7,857 | — | 90 | 71 |
| Cascais e Estoril · 49b7ec | Active | €2,490,000 | €7,523 | 4.3% | 81 | 73 |
| rua do Cobre | Active | €1,049,000 | €5,610 | 28.6% | 92 | 67 |
| Cascais e Estoril · 483bf6 | Active | €1,280,000 | €6,632 | 15.6% | 78 | 70 |
| rua Melros, 2 | Active | €2,315,000 | €7,717 | 1.8% | 76 | 75 |
| Median comp | €1,797,500 | €7,078 | 9.9% | 80 | 72 |
Long-term rental The villa's gross yield of 1.3% suggests it may not generate sufficient returns for long-term rental investors, particularly given its €3,300,000 listing price, which is 16.7% above fair value. While proximity to Lisbon offers some tenant attraction, the neighborhood rating of 71/100 is a concern for long-term tenant quality. Family rental Though the villa's condition is rated highly at 89/100, the significant difference from fair value means families may find it financially unfeasible, limiting rental interest. The home's spacious layout could appeal to families, but the overpriced nature at €3,300,000 makes it less attractive in a competitive family rental market. Buy-and-hold As a buy-and-hold investment, the property’s current valuation at €3,300,000 presents challenges, given it exceeds fair market value by 16.7%, positioning it poorly for appreciation. The potential for value increment is overshadowed by its high initial cost and low yield of 1.3%, suggesting lack of strategic merit for long-term holding.
Tenant turnover risk The tenant stability score of 68/100 indicates a potential for higher turnover, which can lead to increased vacancy rates and lost rental income.
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Comparables, condition and location workings, yield and time-to-sell. Written up and emailed to you.
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